Best Bets 9/13/2024
NCAA Week 3
NFL Week 2
Week Three
Each week we’ll handicap all the SEC action, plus give you the Top 5 College Picks
along with the Top 5 NFL Picks.
Year to Date:
SEC Picks:
16-4 SU
14-6 ATS
16-4 OU
College Football Top 5 (5-5) / NFL Top 5 (3-2)
Here we go with Week Three……
Alabama -16 @ Wisconsin (51.5)
ALA: 9-4ATS last 13 games
ALA: 8-1ATS last 9 vs. B1G opponents
ALA: 8-3ATS last 11 as a favorite
WIS: 1-5-1ATS last 7 at home
WIS: 7 of last 8 at home- Under
WIS: 8 of last 11- Under
Pick: SU- Alabama 31-10 / ATS- Alabama / OU- Under
LSU -7.5 @ South Carolina (52.5)
LSU: 15-11ATS on the road
LSU: 8-4ATS as a road dog
LSU: 15 of last 17- Over
SC: 4-13-1ATS following an ATS win
SC: 12-19ATS as an underdog
SC: lost 31 of last 38 vs. Top 25 opponents
H2H: LSU won 7 straight meetings (5-2ATS)
H2H: 5 of last 7 meetings- Over
Pick: SU- LSU 34-21 / ATS- LSU / OU- Over
Missouri -16 vs. Boston College (54.5)
MIZ: 10-15ATS as a favorite
MIZ: 17 of last 28- Under (21 of 35 at home- Under)
MIZ: 21 of 30 vs. winning teams- Under
BC: 4-1ATS last 5 on the road
BC: 8-3SU last 11 games
Pick: SU- Missouri 34-20 / ATS- Boston College / OU- Under
Texas A&M -3.5 @ Florida (49.5)
TXAM: 8-6ATS as a road favorite
TXAM: 17 of last 26 on the road- Under
TXAM: 10 of 14 as a road favorite- Under
FLA: 10-21ATS last 31 (1-6ATS last 7)
FLA: 4-12ATS last 16 at home
FLA: 8-12ATS last 20 vs. SEC
H2H: 3-3 in 6 meetings
Pick: SU- Texas A&M 27-20 / ATS- Texas A&M / OU- Under
Oklahoma -13.5 vs. Tulane (49.5)
OKL: 7-2ATS last 9 at home
OKL: 5-1ATS last 6 in September
OKL: 4 of last 5 vs. AAC opponents- Under
TLN: 1-5ATS last 6 vs. SEC opponents
TLN: 2-7ATS last 9 on a Saturday
TLN: 12 of last 15- Under
Pick: SU- Oklahoma 31-17 / ATS- Oklahoma / OU- Under
Arkansas -21 vs. UAB (58.5)
ARK: 15-9ATS following a loss
ARK: 11-3ATS last 14 in September
ARK: 20 of last 26- Over (13 of 18 at home- Over)
UAB: 2-11ATS last 13 on the road
UAB: 2-9ATS last 11 vs. SEC opponents
UAB: 9 of last 11 vs. SEC opponents- Over
Pick: SU- Arkansas 42-17 / ATS- Arkansas / OU- Over
Ole Miss -23 @ Wake Forest (63.5)
OM: 7-2ATS in September
OM: 5-1ATS last 6 vs. ACC
OM: 22 of last 32- Under (8 of 10 on the road- Under)
WF: 0-4-1ATS last 5 games
WF: 2-9SU last 11 games
WF: 6-12ATS in Week Three
Pick: SU- Ole Miss 42-17 / ATS- Ole Miss / OU- Under
Texas -34 vs. UTSA (53.5)
TEX: 5-1ATS last 6 games (4-1ATS last 5 at home)
TEX: 9-3ATS last 12 in September
TEX: 9 of last 12- Under (11 of 15 at home- Under)
UTSA: 1-5ATS last 6 as an underdog
UTSA: 1-7ATS last 8 in September
UTSA: 6 of last 8 on the road- Under
Pick: SU- Texas 44-7 / ATS- Texas / OU-Under
Vanderbilt -10 @ Georgia State (46.5)
VAN: 3-11ATS last 14
VAN: Last 38 as a favorite, 32-6SU (19-19ATS)
VAN: 18 of last 25 on the road- Under
GST: 10 of last 14 at home- Under
GST: 5 of last 6- Under
Pick: SU- Vanderbilt 24-21 / ATS- Georgia State / OU- Under
Georgia -23.5 @ Kentucky (45.5)
UGA: 23-10ATS last 33 on road
UGA: 20-9ATS last 29 on road vs. SEC opponents
UGA: 5 of last 7- Under
UK: 3-16SU vs. AP #1 Team
UK: 27 of 42 vs. SEC- Under
UK: 18 of last 27- Under
H2H: UGA 8-3ATS last 11 meetings (5-2ATS @ UK)
H2H: 4 of last 5 meetings- Under
Pick: SU- Georgia 35-10 / ATS- Georgia / OU- Under
Mississippi State -9.5 vs. Toledo (57.5)
MSU: 33-2SU last 35 vs. Non-conference opponents at home
MSU: 12 of last 16 in Week Three- Under
MSU: 9 of last 16 at home- Under
TOL: 1-4ATS last 5 in September
TOL: 2-7ATS last 9 on a Saturday
TOL: 4 of last 5 on a Saturday- Under
Pick: SU- Mississippi State 31-21 / ATS- Mississippi State / OU- Under
Auburn -28 vs. New Mexico (59.5)
AUB: 2-9ATS last 11 vs. Non-conference opponents
AUB: 19-27ATS as a home favorite
AUB: 17 of last 21 as a favorite- Under
NM: 4-1ATS last 5 games
Pick: SU- Auburn 38-17 / ATS- New Mexico / OU- Under
Tennessee -48 vs. Kent State (62.5)
UT: 14-7ATS last 21
UT: 17-6ATS last 23 as a favorite
UT: 12 of last 15 at home- Over
KST: 1-9-1ATS last 11 games
KST: 0-5-1ATS on the road
KST: 10 of last 15- Over
Pick: SU- Tennessee 57-7 / ATS- Tennessee / OU- Over
Top 5 College Picks
1- Texas State +2.5 vs. Arizona State
2- Colorado State +7.5 vs. Colorado
3- Texas A&M -4 @ Florida
4- LSU -7 @ South Carolina
5- Florida State -7 vs. Memphis
Top 5 NFL Picks
1- Dolphins - 1.5 vs. Bills
2- Cowboys -6.5 vs. Saints
3- Patriots +3.5 vs. Seahawks
4- Lions -7 vs. Buccaneers
5- Eagles -6.5 vs. Falcons
There you have it for Week Three. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC,
College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the
GrindCityMedia App and GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel LIVE every Monday and
Thursday at 2pm. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get
your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter X @thefishnation, on Instagram and
Threads @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments
or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!
