Best Bets 9/5/2024
NCAA Week 2
NFL Week 1
Week Two
Each week we’ll handicap all the SEC action, plus give you the Top 5 College Picks
along with the Top 5 NFL Picks.
Year to Date:
SEC Picks:
8-2 SU
8-2 ATS
8-2 O/U
College Football Top 5 (3-2) / NFL Top 5 (0-0)
Here we go with Week Two......
Texas -6.5 @ Michigan (44.5)
TEX: 4-1ATS last 5 games
TEX: 5-2ATS last 7 games on the road
TEX: 4-1ATS last 5 as a favorite
TEX: 8 of 11- Under (4 of 5 on road- Under)
MICH: 16-0SU last 16 games
MICH: 3-19SU last 22 as an underdog
MICH: 17 of last 24 at home- Under
Pick: SU- Texas 24-17 / ATS- Texas / OU- Under
Arkansas +8.5 @ Oklahoma State (59.5)
ARK: 21-8ATS as an underdog (12-3ATS as a road dog)
ARK: 10-3ATS in September
ARK: 10-2ATS vs. BigXII opponents
ARK: 19 of last 25- Over
OKST: 21-2SU in last 23 home games
OKST: 4 of 5 at home- Over
OKST: 7 of last 10- Over
Pick: SU- Oklahoma State 35-28 / ATS- Arkansas / OU- Over
Kentucky -10 vs. South Carolina (45.5)
UK: 23-13ATS last 36 games
UK: 23-9ATS last 32 at home
UK: 23-13ATS last 36 as a favorite
UK: 17 of last 26- Under
SC: 7-11ATS following a win
SC: 11-19ATS last 30 as an underdog
SC: 6 of last 7- Under
H2H: UK 8-3ATS last 11 meetings (5-2ATS at home)
H2H: 8 of the last 10 meetings- Under
Pick: SU- Kentucky 28-17 / ATS- Kentucky / OU- Under
Auburn -14 vs. California (53.5)
AUB: 9-5-1ATS last 15 games
AUB: 21-11ATS at home on a Saturday
AUB: 23-12ATS as a favorite
AUB: 16 of 21 following a SU win- Under
AUB: 16 of 20 as a favorite- Under
CAL: 2-5ATS last 7 as an underdog
CAL: 1-15SU last 16 as an underdog
CAL: 4 of last 5 games- Under
Pick: SU- Auburn 31-14 / ATS- Auburn / OU- Under
Ole Miss -41 vs. Middle Tennessee (62.5)
OM: 6-2ATS last 8 in September
OM: 5-1ATS last 6 vs. CUSA opponents
OM: 21 of last 31- Under
MTSU: 1-16SU last 17 vs. SEC opponents
MTSU: 3-8ATS last 11 games (2-6ATS last 8 on the road)
MTSU: 4 of last 5 on the road- Under
Pick: SU- Ole Miss 49-7 / ATS- Ole Miss / OU- Under
Missouri -34 vs. Buffalo (51.5)
MIZ: 10-2ATS last 12 games
MIZ: 23-16ATS last 39 at home
MIZ: 20 of last 34 at home- Under
BUF: 1-4ATS last 5 games
BUF: 3-7ATS last 10 in Week Two
BUF: Last 9 games- Under (4 of 5 on the road- Under)
Pick: SU- Missouri 44-7 / ATS- Missouri / OU- Under
Alabama -31 vs. South Florida (63.5)
ALA: 20-6ATS last 26 games at home
ALA: 9-3ATS last 12 games
ALA: 9-1ATS as a 31+ point favorite
ALA: 9 of last 11- Over (7 of 9 at home- Over)
SFL: 2-22SU last 24 on the road
SFL: 5 of last 6 vs. SEC- Over
SFL: 7 of last 9 on the road- Over
Pick: SU- Alabama 49-17 / ATS- Alabama / OU- Over
Tennessee -7.5 @ North Carolina State (59.5)
UT: 13-7ATS last 20 games
UT: 28-5SU vs. Non-conference opponents (5-2ATS vs. ACC)
UT: 16-6ATS last 22 as a favorite
UT: 19 of last 29- Over
UT: 9 of 11 vs. Non-conference opponents- Over (7 of 9 vs. ACC- Over)
NCST: 2-8ATS vs. SEC opponents
NCST: 0-4-1ATS last 5 in September
NCST: 6 of 8 vs. SEC opponents- Over
Pick: SU- Tennessee 38-28 / ATS- Tennessee / OU- Over
Oklahoma -29 vs. Houston (52.5)
OU: 7-1ATS last 8 at home
OU: 25-0SU in Week Two (Covered 11 of 15)
OU: 5-0ATS last 5 in September
OU: 7 of last 11 at home- Over
HOU: 3-8ATS last 11 in September
HOU: 8 of last 11 in September- Over
HOU: 13 of last 18 on the road- Over
Pick: SU- Oklahoma 45-13 / ATS- Oklahoma / OU- Over
Mississippi State +6.5 @ Arizona State (56.5)
MSU: 2-6ATS last 8 on the road
MSU: 1-6ATS last 7 in September
MSU: 8 of 10 on the road- Under
ASU: 13-3SU in Week Two
ASU: 4 of last 5 vs. SEC opponents- Under
ASU: 11 of last 13 in September- Under
Pick: SU- Arizona State 31-21 / ATS- Arizona State / OU- Under
Top 5 College Picks
1- Kentucky -10 vs. South Carolina
2- Tennessee -6.5 vs. North Carolina State
3- Maryland -8 vs. Michigan State
4- Nebraska -7 vs. Colorado
5- Troy +18 @ Memphis
Top 5 NFL Picks
1- Bears -4.5 vs. Titans
2- Lions -3.5 vs. Rams
3- Ravens @ Chiefs Under 46.5
4- Commanders +3.5 @ Buccaneers
5- Seahawks -5.5 vs. Broncos
There you have it for Week Two. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC,
College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the
GrindCityMedia App and GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel LIVE every Monday and
Thursday at 2pm. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get
your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter X @thefishnation, on Instagram and
Threads @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments
or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!
