Best Bets 8/28/2024
NCAA Week 1
Week One
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, LIVE every Monday and
Thursday at 2pm on the GrindCityMedia App, GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel, and
GrindCityMedia.com)
Each week we’ll handicap all the SEC action, plus give you the Top 5 College Picks
along with the Top 5 NFL Picks.
Year to Date:
SEC Picks: 0-0 SU
0-0 ATS
0-0 OU
College Football Top 5 (0-0) / NFL Top 5 (0-0)
Here we go with Week One……
Oklahoma -42.5 vs. Temple (59.5)
OKL: 6-1ATS last 7 at home
OKL: 7 of last 10 at home- Over
OKL: 11 of last 15 vs. AAC opponents- Over
TEM: 2-7ATS last 9 games
TEM: 3-11ATS last 14 games on the road
TEM: 5 of last 7 on Friday- Over
Pick: SU- Oklahoma 55-7 / ATS- Oklahoma / OU- Over
Vanderbilt +13 vs. Virginia Tech (50.5)
VAN: 8-25ATS last 33 at home
VAN: 6-22ATS last 28 as a home dog
VAN: 8 of 9 vs. non-conference opponents- Over
VAN: Last 6 vs. ACC opponents- Over
VTU: 7-2ATS last 9 games
VTU: 7 of last 8 vs. SEC opponents- Over
VTU: 5 of last 6 games- Over
Pick: SU- Virginia Tech 34-17 / ATS- Virginia Tech / OU- Over
Georgia -13.5 vs. Clemson (48.5)
UGA: 30-23ATS last 53 as a favorite
UGA: 14-7ATS as a neutral site favorite
UGA: 7-1ATS last 8 vs. ACC opponents (30-11ATS last 41)
UGA: 4 of last 6- Under
CLEM: 2-5ATS last 7 games vs. SEC opponents
CLEM: 5 of 7 in Week One- Under
CLEM: 4 of last 6 vs. SEC East- Under
H2H: UGA 5-1SU last 6 meetings (4-2ATS)
Pick: SU- Georgia 35-10 / ATS- Georgia / OU- Under
Florida +2.5 vs. Miami- FL (54.5)
FLA: 10-20ATS last 30 games
FLA: 2-12ATS last 14 games vs. non-conference opponents
FLA: 4-11ATS last 15 at home
FLA: 7 of last 8- Over
FLA: 20 of 28 as a dog- Over
MIA: 5-1ATS in August
MIA: 5 of last 7 on the road- Over
MIA: 6 of last 8 games- Over
H2H: MIA 7-2SU last 9 meetings (6-1ATS last 7)
Pick: SU- Miami 31-24 / ATS- Miami / OU- Over
South Carolina -21 vs. Old Dominion (52.5)
SC: 5 of last 6 games- Under
SC: 13-1SU last 14 games vs. Sun Belt Conference (4 of last 5- Under)
SC: 16 of 26 at home- Under
ODU: 11-4ATS last 15 games on the road
ODU: 5 of last 7 games- Under
Pick: SU- South Carolina 31-17 / ATS- Old Dominion / OU- Under
Alabama -31.5 vs. Western Kentucky (59.5)
ALA: 8-3ATS last 11 games
ALA: 19-6ATS last 25 at home
ALA: 8-1ATS as a 31+ point favorite
ALA: 15-2ATS in their last 17 openers
WKU: 2-5ATS last 7 games
WKU: 1-5ATS last 6 games vs. SEC opponents
WKU: 4 of last 6 games- Over
H2H: ALA 3-0SU (2-1ATS)
Pick: SU- Alabama 51-10 / ATS- Alabama / OU- Over
Texas A&M -3 vs. Notre Dame (46.5)
TXAM: 1-6-1ATS last 8 games
TXAM: 1-4ATS last 5 vs. Independent
TXAM: 4 of last 5 vs. Independent- Under
TXAM: 20 of 33 as a favorite- Under
ND: 5-1ATS last 6 games
ND: 5 of last 6 vs. SEC opponents- Under
Pick: SU- Notre Dame 24-20 / ATS- Notre Dame / OU- Under
Kentucky -28 vs. Southern Miss (50.5)
UK: 22-13ATS last 35 games
UK: 16-3ATS last 19 vs. non-conference opponents (9-1ATS at home)
UK: 22-9ATS last 31 at home
UK: 16 of last 25- Under
USM: 3-8ATS last 11 games
USM: 4 of last 5 in August- Under
Pick: SU- Kentucky 41-7 / ATS- Kentucky / OU- Under
Texas -32.5 vs. Colorado State (59.5)
TEX: 5-0ATS in August
TEX: 7 of last 10 games- Under
TEX: 10 of last 14 at home- Under
TEX: Last 6 vs. Mountain West- Under
CSU: 0-5ATS last 5 games
CSU: 0-7ATS last 7 games in Week One
CSU: 5 of last 6 games- Under
Pick: SU- Texas 45-10 / ATS- Texas / OU- Under
LSU -4 vs. USC (63.5)
LSU: Won 7 straight games as a favorite
LSU: 11-3SU in season openers when both teams are ranked
LSU: 16 of last 17- Over
USC: 2-8ATS last 10 games
USC: 4 of last 5 as an underdog- Over
USC: 17 of last 20- Over
Pick: SU- LSU 38-28 / ATS- LSU / OU- Over
Top 5 College Picks
1- TCU -9 @ STANFORD
2- WYOMING @ ARIZONA STATE OVER 47.5
3- GEORGIA -13.5 VS. CLEMSON
4- VIRGINIA TECH -13 @ VANDERBILT
5- NORTH DAKOTA STATE +10 @ COLORADO
There you have it for Week One. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC,
College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the
GrindCityMedia App and GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel LIVE every Monday and
Thursday at 2pm. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get
your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter X @thefishnation, on Instagram and
Threads @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments
or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!
