Best Bets 9/19/2024
NCAA Week 4
NFL Week 3
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, LIVE every Monday and Thursday at 2pm on the GrindCityMedia App, GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel, and GrindCityMedia.com)
Each week we’ll handicap all the SEC action, plus give you the Top 5 College Picks along with the Top 5 NFL Picks.
Year to Date:
SEC Picks:
27-6 SU
23-10 ATS
22-11 OU
College Football Top 5 (6-9) / NFL Top 5 (5-5)
Here we go with Week Four……
Florida -5.5 @ Mississippi State (57.5)
FLA: 10-22ATS last 32
FLA: 4-19ATS last 23 as a favorite
FLA: 9 of last 10- Over
FLA: 19 of last 27 on the road- Over (last 4- Over)
MSU: 3-10-1ATS last 14 games
MSU: 2-10-1ATS last 13 games vs. SEC opponents
MSU: 15 of last 18 at home- Over
H2H: MSU 4-2-1ATS last 7 meetings
Pick: SU- Florida 31-28 / ATS- Mississippi State / OU- Over
Kentucky -19.5 vs. Ohio (41.5)
UK: 24-14ATS last 38 games
UK: 24-10ATS last 34 at home
UK: 10-1ATS at home vs. Non-conference opponents (12-3ATS vs. MAC)
UK: 19 of last 28- Under (all 3 this year- Under)
OH: 4 of 5 vs. SEC opponents- Under
OH: 14 of last 20 games- Under
OH: 9 of last 11 on the road- Under
H2H: UK has covered 2 of last 3 meetings (All 3 have gone Under)
Pick: SU- Kentucky 31-10 / ATS- Kentucky / OU- Under
LSU -24.5 vs. UCLA (55.5)
LSU: 12-2ATS last 14 at home
LSU: 14-4ATS as a home favorite
LSU: 16 of 18 games- Over
LSU: 12 of last 16 as a home favorite- Over
UCLA: 2-6ATS last 8 games
UCLA: 1-5ATS last 6 as an underdog
UCLA: 9 of last 12 as an underdog- Over
Pick: SU- LSU 42-14 / ATS- LSU / OU- Over
Auburn -3 vs. Arkansas (58.5)
AUB: 19-28ATS as a home favorite
AUB: 5-15SU last 20 vs. SEC opponents
AUB: 3-10ATS last 13 in September
ARK: 22-8ATS as an underdog
ARK: 13-3ATS as a road dog (covered 8 of 9)
ARK: 11-4ATS last 15 in September
ARK: 21 of last 27- Over
H2H: 9 of last 10- Over
Pick: SU- Arkansas 31-28 / ATS- Arkansas / OU- Over
Missouri -20.5 vs. Vanderbilt (52.5)
MIZ: 11-3ATS last 14 games
MIZ: 24-17ATS last 41 at home
MIZ: 18 of last 29- Under (7 of 9)
VAN: 3-12ATS last 15 games
VAN: 19-29ATS as an underdog
VAN: 18 of last 26 on the road- Under
H2H: 8 of last 10- Under (Last 6 @ MIZ- Under)
Pick: SU- Missouri 35-14 / ATS- Missouri / OU- Under
Texas A&M -22 vs. Bowling Green (52.5)
TXAM: 25-15ATS last 40 at home
TXAM: 15-9ATS last 24 vs. Non-conference
TXAM: 21 of 35 as a favorite- Under
TXAM: 11 of 16 in September- Under
BG: 1-5-1ATS last 7 in Week 4
BG: 0-6SU vs. SEC opponents
Pick: SU- Texas A&M 38-14 / ATS- Texas A&M / OU- Under
Tennessee -7 @ Oklahoma (57.5)
UT: 15-7ATS last 22 Games
UT: 18-6ATS last 24 as a favorite
UT: 21 of last 31- Over
OKL: 4-6ATS last 10 games
OKL: 2-5ATS last 7 on a Saturday
OKL: 8 of last 13 at home- Over
H2H: OKL 2-0SU last 2 meetings (2-0ATS)
Pick: SU- Tennessee 35-24 / ATS- Tennessee / OU- Over
South Carolina -27.5 vs. Akron (46.5)
SC: 7-4ATS last 11 at home vs. teams with a losing road record
SC: 17 of last 28 at home- Under
SC: 7 of last 9- Under
AKR: 2-5ATS last 7 vs. SEC opponents
AKR: 4-15ATS last 19 played in September
AKR: 5 of last 6 in Week 4- Under
Pick: SU- South Carolina 35-7 / ATS- South Carolina / OU- Under
Ole Miss -36 vs. Georgia Southern (65.5)
OM: 5-0ATS last 5 games
OM: 23 of last 33- Under
OM: 14 of last 20 vs. winning teams- Under
GSU: 1-4ATS last 5 on the road
GSU: 3-7ATS last 10 on a Saturday
GSU: 7 of last 9 in September- Under
Pick: SU- Ole Miss 52-10 / ATS- Ole Miss / OU- Under
Texas -44.5 vs. Louisiana Monroe (52.5)
TEX: 6-1ATS last 7
TEX: 5-1ATS last 6 at home
TEX: 5 of last 6- Over
ULM: 2-5ATS last 7 vs. SEC opponents
ULM: 2-4ATS last 6 played on a Saturday
Pick: SU- Texas 54-7 / ATS- Texas / OU- Over
Top 5 College Picks
1- San Jose State +13.5 @ Washington State
2- Kentucky -19.5 vs. Ohio
3- USC -5.5 @ Michigan
4- Tennessee -7 @ Oklahoma
5- Ole Miss -36 vs. Georgia Southern
Top 5 NFL Picks
1- Texans -3 @ Vikings
2- Cowboys +1 vs. Ravens
3- Rams +7.5 vs. 49ers
4- Bills -5.5 vs. Jaguars
5- Buccaneers -6.5 vs. Broncos
There you have it for Week Four. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia App and GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel LIVE every Monday and Thursday at 2pm. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter X @thefishnation, on Instagram and Threads @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!
