Best Bets 10/12/2023
College Football -Week 7
NFL- Week 6
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, LIVE every Thursday at 2pm on the GrindCityMedia App, GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel, and GrindCityMedia.com )
Each week we’ll handicap all the SEC action, plus give you the Top 5 College Picks along with the Top 5 NFL Picks
Year to Date:
SEC 40-10
SU 24-26
ATS 23-27
OU
College Football Top 5 (18-17) / NFL Top 5 (16-9)
Here we go with Week Seven ……
Georgia -31.5 @ Vanderbilt (56.5)
UGA: 27-19ATS as a favorite
UGA: 22-8ATS Last 30 on the road
UGA: 19-8ATS on the road vs. SEC opponents
UGA: 9 of last 12 vs. SEC East- Under
VAN: 0-6ATS this season (0-8ATS last 8)
VAN: 1-9ATS last 10 at home (5-21ATS as a home underdog)
VAN: 0-5ATS last 5 as an underdog
VAN: 25 of last 39 vs. SEC opponents- Under
H2H: UGA has covered last 5 meetings
H2H: Road team is 4-2ATS Last 6 meetings
H2H: 5 of last 7 meetings- Under
Pick: SU- Georgia 45-10 / ATS- Georgia / OU- Under
Alabama -19.5 vs. Arkansas (48.5)
ALA: 17-5ATS last 22 at home
ALA: 10-1ATS vs. teams with a losing record
ALA: 5-2ATS last 7 games
ALA: 6 of last 8 games- Over
ARK: 21-40ATS last 61 vs. SEC opponents
ARK: 11 of 14 on the road- Over
ARK: 11 of 15 on road vs. teams with a winning home record- Over
ARK: 14 of last 19- Over
H2H: Last 11 meetings, ALA has outscored ARK 44.6-15.3
Pick: SU- Alabama 35-14 / ATS- Alabama / OU- Over
South Carolina -2.5 vs. Florida (51.5)
SC: 6-2ATS at home vs. teams with a losing road record
SC: 5-1ATS last 5 at home
SC: 5-2ATS last 7 as a favorite
SC: 13 of last 21 at home- Under
SC: Last 6 games played in Week 7- Under
FLA: 8-16ATS last 24
FLA: 3-11ATS last 14 on the road
FLA: 3-10ATS vs. losing teams
FLA: 14 of 18 vs. SEC East- Under
FLA: 4 of 5 games this season- Under
H2H: SC 4-2-1ATS last 7 meetings
Pick: SU- South Carolina 27-24 / ATS- South Carolina / OU- Under
Tennessee -3.5 vs. Texas A&M (55.5)
UT: 3-1ATS this season (3 of 4- Over)
UT: 10-3ATS last 13 (6-1ATS last 7 at home)
UT: 15-6ATS last 21 as a favorite
UT: 10 of last 11 at home- Over
UT: 9 of 14 vs. SEC opponents- Over
TXAM: 2-8ATS last 10 on the road
TXAM: 6 of last 8 vs. SEC opponents- Over
TXAM: 4 of 6 games this season- Over (5 of last 7- Over)
TXAM: 11 of last 14 in October- Over
TXAM: 14 of last 20 as an underdog- Over
Pick: SU- Tennessee 31-27 / ATS- Tennessee / OU- Over
LSU -11.5 vs. Auburn (62.5)
LSU: All 5 games this season- Over (13 of last 14- Over)
LSU: 8 of 11 as a home favorite- Over
LSU: 13 of 19 at home- Over (Last 5 at home- Over)
LSU: 7-2ATS last 9 at home
LSU: 9-4ATS as a home favorite
AUB: 11-15ATS as an underdog
AUB: 6 of last 8 vs. SEC opponents- Over
AUB: 8 of last 11- Over
AUB: 6 of last 7 as an underdog- Over
H2H: Home team is 10-4ATS last 14 meetings
Pick: SU- LSU 45-28 / ATS- LSU / OU- Over
Kentucky -2.5 vs. Missouri (52.5)
UK: 4-1ATS this season (4 of 5- Over)
UK: 20-9ATS last 29 games
UK: 22-6ATS last 28 at home
UK: 21-11ATS as a favorite
MIZ: 4 of 5 games this season- Over
MIZ: 14-21ATS last 35 vs. SEC opponents
MIZ: 6-13ATS last 19 on the road
MIZ: 9-15ATS last 24 vs. winning teams
H2H: UK 6-2ATS last 8 meetings
H2H: UK 5-1SU last 6 meetings
Pick: SU- Kentucky 31-24 / ATS- Kentucky / OU- Over
Top 5 College Picks
1- Tulane @ Memphis Over 56.5
2- Kansas -3.5 @ Oklahoma State
3- Texas A&M @ Tennessee Over 56
4- Kentucky -2.5 vs. Missouri
5- LSU -11 vs. Auburn
Top 5 NFL Picks
1- Bills -14 vs. Giants
2- Eagles -6.5 @ Jets
3- Dolphins -13.5 vs. Panthers
4- Chiefs -10.5 vs. Broncos
5- 49ers -4.5 @ Browns
There you have it for Week Seven. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia App and GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel LIVE every Thursday at 2pm. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter @thefishnation, on Instagram @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!