Best Bets 10/19/2023
College Football -Week 8
NFL- Week 7
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, LIVE every Thursday at 2pm on the GrindCityMedia App, GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel, and GrindCityMedia.com )
Each week we’ll handicap all the SEC action, plus give you the Top 5 College Picks along with the Top 5 NFL Picks
Year to Date:
SEC 44-12
SU 26-30
ATS 26-30
OU
College Football Top 5 (19-21)
NFL Top 5 (18-12)
Here we go with Week Eight ……
Arkansas -6.5 vs. Mississippi State (50.5)
ARK: 22-40ATS last 62 vs. SEC opponents
ARK: 4-8ATS last 12 at home
ARK: 11-19-1ATS last 31 as a favorite
ARK: 15 of last 20 games- Over (4 of 6 this season- Over)
ARK: 10 of last 14 at home- Over
MSU: 8-5ATS last 13 on the road
MSU: 4 of 5 games this season- Over
MSU: 5 of last 6 vs. SEC opponents- Over
H2H: MSU 4-1ATS last 5 meetings
H2H: Road Team is 7-3ATS last 10 meetings
H2H: 12 of last 16 meetings- Over
Pick: SU- Arkansas 30-24 / ATS- Mississippi State / OU- Over
Alabama -9 vs. Tennessee (47.5)
ALA: 17-6ATS Last 23 at home
ALA: 23-14ATS vs. SEC East
ALA: 14-6ATS last 20 in October (11-2ATS last 13 in Week 8)
ALA: Won 46 of last 55 vs. Top 25 opponents
ALA: 8 of 10 vs. SEC East- Over
UT: 3-6ATS Last 9 vs. SEC West
UT: 4-10ATS last 14 as an underdog
UT: 9 of last 15 vs. SEC- Over
UT: 15 of last 23- Over
H2H: ALA 12-5ATS Last 17 meetings
H2H: 8 of last 11 meetings- Over
Pick: SU- Alabama 31-17 / ATS- Alabama / OU- Over
Missouri -7.5 vs. South Carolina (59.5)
MIZ: 4-1ATS last 5 (14-8ATS last 22)
MIZ: 21-15ATS last 36 at home
MIZ: 8-3ATS vs. SEC East
MIZ: 8 of 13 vs. SEC opponents- Under
MIZ: 14 of 25 as a favorite- Under
SC: 6-11ATS following an ATS loss
SC: 9-17ATS vs. SEC (5-9ATS vs. SEC East)
SC: 6-10ATS vs. winning teams
SC: 9-17ATS as an underdog
SC: 2-10ATS in Week 8
H2H: MIZ 4-0ATS last 4 meetings
H2H: Home team is 5-3ATS last 8 meetings
H2H: 9 of last 11 meetings- Under (4 of 5 at MIZ- Under)
Pick: SU- Missouri 31-21 / ATS- Missouri / OU- Under
Ole Miss -7 @ Auburn (56.5)
MISS: 16-27-1ATS last 44 vs. SEC opponents
MISS: 1-4ATS last 5 vs. SEC (1-4ATS last 5 vs. SEC West)
MISS: 1-5-1ATS last 7 in October
MISS: 6 of last 7 on the road- Under
MISS: 17 of last 25- Under (11 of 17 vs. SEC- Under)
AUB: 5-3-1ATS last 9 games
AUB: 10-5ATS last 15 vs. SEC West opponents
AUB: 19-9ATS last 28 at home (4-1ATS last 5 at home)
AUB: 12-4ATS in Week 8 (covered last 5)
AUB: 11 of 17 as a home dog- Under
AUB: 19 of 29 vs. SEC- Under
H2H: AUB 5-1ATS last 6 meetings (10-2-2ATS last 14)
H2H: 4 of last 5 meetings- Under
Pick: SU- Ole Miss 30-24 / ATS- Auburn / OU- Under
LSU -30.5 vs. Army (57.5)
LSU: 10-4ATS as a home favorite
LSU: 9-2ATS last 11 at home
LSU: Last 11 games- Over (All 6 games this season- Over)
LSU: Last 6 at home- Over (9 of 12 as a home favorite- Over)
ARMY: 1-6ATS last 7 in October
ARMY: 2-11ATS last 13 in Week 8
ARMY: 10 of last 12 in Week 8- Over
Pick: SU- LSU 51-17 / ATS- LSU / OU- Over
Top 5 College Picks
1- Arkansas -7 vs. Mississippi State
2- Washington State @ Oregon Over 60
3- USC -6.5 vs. Utah
4- Ole Miss -7 @ Auburn
5- Memphis -5.5 @ UAB
Top 5 NFL Picks
1- Chiefs -5.5 vs. Chargers
2- Eagles -2 vs. Dolphins
3- Steelers +3 @ Rams
4- Seahawks -8 vs. Cardinals
5- Browns -2 @ Colts
There you have it for Week Eight. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia App and GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel LIVE every Thursday at 2pm. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter @thefishnation, on Instagram @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!