Best Bets 9/14/2023

College Football -Week 3

NFL- Week 2

By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, LIVE every Thursday at 2pm on the GrindCityMedia App, GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel, and GrindCityMedia.com )

Each week we’ll handicap all the SEC action, plus give you the Top 5 College Picks along with the Top 5 NFL Picks

Year to Date:

SEC 14-4

SU 7-11

ATS 10-8

OU / College Football Top 5 (7-8) / NFL Top 5 (2-3)

Here we go with Week Three ……

LSU -10 @ Mississippi State (53)

            LSU: 13-9ATS on the road

            LSU: 15-8ATS on the road vs. team with a winning home record

            LSU: 6-2ATS last 8 in September

            MSU: 1-7ATS as a home dog

            MSU: 1-4ATS last 5 vs. SEC

            MSU: 6-12ATS Last 18 at home

            MSU: 4 of last 5- Under (7 of 10 at home- Under)

            H2H: LSU 4-1ATS last 5 meetings (LSU 11-3ATS @ MSU)

            H2H: 7 of last 8- Under (5 of 6 @ MSU- Under)

            Pick: SU- LSU 31-20 / ATS- LSU / OU- Under

Missouri +5 vs. Kansas State (47.5)

            MIZ: 10-18ATS Last 28 games (2-5ATS last 7)

            MIZ: 7-14ATS Last 21 vs. winning teams

            MIZ: 1-4ATS last 5 vs. BigXII opponents

            MIZ: 18 of 24 vs. winning teams- Under

            MIZ: 9 of 11 as an underdog- Under

            MIZ: 10 of last 12- Under

            MIZ: 8 of 9 vs. Big XII- Under

            KSU: 6-1ATS last 7 games (12-4-1ATS last 17)

            KSU: 16-4-2ATS last 22 as a favorite (covered last 6)

            KSU: 8-3ATS last 11 in September

            H2H: KSU 4-1ATS last 5 meetings (KSU 4-1ATS last 5 @ MIZ)

            Pick: SU- Kansas State 27-20 / ATS- Kansas State / OU- Under

Alabama -32 @ South Florida (61.5)

            ALA: 5-1ATS following a loss

            ALA: Covered last 8 as a 31+ point favorite

            ALA: Last 8 following a loss- Under

            USF: 2-4ATS last 6 games (4-10ATS last 14)

            USF: 1-5ATS last 6 at home

            USF: 1-5ATS last 6 in September

            Pick: SU- Alabama 49-10 / ATS- Alabama / OU- Under

Georgia -27.5 vs. South Carolina (54.5)

            UGA: 5-2ATS last 7 vs. SEC opponents

            UGA: 8 of last 11 in Week 3- Over

            UGA: 4 of last 6- Over

            SC: 16-12ATS on the road Last 28

            SC: 4 of last 5 games- Over

            SC: 12 of 15 on the road- Over

            H2H: Road Team is 7-0ATS last 7

            H2H: SC 7-2ATS last 9 @ UGA

            H2H: 8 of last 10- Over (5 of 7 @ UGA- Over)

            Pick: SU- Georgia 42-17 / ATS- South Carolina / OU- Over

Texas A&M -36.5 vs. Louisiana Monroe (53.5)

            TXAM: Lost 6 of last 10 as a favorite

            TXAM: 6-8ATS as a home favorite

            TXAM: 2-6ATS last 8 vs. Sun Belt opponents

            TXAM: 10 of 15 as a home favorite- Under

            TXAM: 10 of 12 in September- Under

            TXAM: 7 of last 8 vs. Sun Belt opponents- Under

            ULM: 11 of last 13 in September- Under

            ULM: 4 of last 5- Under

            Pick: SU- Texas A&M 35-17 / ATS- Louisiana Monroe / OU- Under

Vanderbilt -4 @ UNLV (60.5)

            VAN: 3-8ATS last 11 games

            VAN: 3-13ATS last 16 in September

            VAN: Last 37 as a favorite, 32-5SU

            VAN: 7 of 8 vs. NonConference opponents- Over

            UNLV: 12-3ATS last 15 games on a Saturday

            UNLV: 4-1ATS last 5 vs. SEC opponents

            UNLV: 14-5-1ATS last 20 in September

            Pick: SU- Vanderbilt 34-31 / ATS- UNLV / OU- Over

Tennessee -6.5 @ Florida (58.5)

            UT: 11-4ATS last 15

            UT: 9-3ATS last 12 as a favorite

            UT: 5-2ATS last 7 vs. SEC opponents

            UT: 8 of 12 vs. SEC opponents- Over (8 of 11 vs. SEC East- Over)

            UT: 13 of 18 as a favorite- Over

            FLA: 6-14ATS last 20 games (4-8ATS last 12 vs. SEC)

            FLA: 2-8ATS last 10 at home

            FLA: 15 of last 21 as an underdog- Over

            H2H: Road team is 9-5-1ATS last 15 meetings

            H2H: 8 of last 12 meetings- Over

            Pick: SU- Tennessee 41-24 / ATS- Tennessee / OU- Over

Ole Miss -19.5 vs. Georgia Tech (63.5)

            MISS: 4-1ATS last 5 vs. ACC opponents

            MISS: 4-1ATS last 5 played in September

            MISS: 15 of last 21- Under (11 of 14 at home- Under)

            GT: 1-5ATS last 6 vs. SEC opponents

            GT: 2-6ATS last 8 in Week 3

            GT: 4 of last 5 in Week 3- Under

            Pick: SU- Ole Miss 37-16 / ATS- Ole Miss / OU- Under

Arkansas -8.5 vs. BYU (47.5)

            ARK: 25-12ATS last 37 games

            ARK: 12-7ATS last 19 at home (4-1ATS last 5)

            ARK: 9-1ATS last 10 in September

            ARK: 11 of last 15- Over (9 of 13 at home- Over)

            BYU: 3-10ATS last 13 games

            BYU: 3-11ATS last 14 on road on Saturday

            BYU: 1-9ATS last 10 vs. SEC opponents

            BYU: 5 of last 6 road games- Over

            Pick: SU- Arkansas 34-17 / ATS- Arkansas / OU- Over

Kentucky -25.5 vs. Akron (49.5)

            UK: 33-18ATS last 51

            UK: 20-6ATS last 26 at home (8-1ATS at home vs. NonConference)

            UK: 18-11ATS last 29 as a favorite

            UK: UK 11-3ATS last 14 vs. MAC opponents

            UK: 14-3ATS last 17 vs. NonConference opponents

            UK: 13 of last 15- Under

            AKR: 3-11ATS last 14 in September

            AKR: 6 of last 8 games- Under

            Pick: SU- Kentucky 38-10 / ATS- Kentucky / OU- Under

Top 5 College Picks

1- Kansas State -5 @ Missouri

2- Washington -16 @ Michigan State

3- Tennessee -6.5 @ Florida

4- UNLV +4 vs. Vanderbilt

5- Arkansas -8.5 vs. BYU

Top 5 NFL Picks

1- Bills -9 vs. Raiders

2- Chiefs -3 @ Jaguars

3- Falcons +2 vs. Packers

4- 49ers -8 @ Rams

5- Cowboys -9.5 vs. Jets

There you have it for Week Three. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia App and GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel LIVE every Thursday at 2pm. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter @thefishnation, on Instagram @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.

Enjoy the weekend!