Best Bets 9/7/2023
College Football -Week 2
NFL- Week 1
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, LIVE every Thursday at 2pm on the GrindCityMedia App, GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel, and GrindCityMedia.com )
Each week we’ll handicap all the SEC action, plus give you the Top 5 College Picks along with the Top 5 NFL Picks
Year to Date:
SEC 7-2
SU 5-4
ATS 6-3
OU / College Football Top 5 (4-6)
Here we go with Week Two ……
Vanderbilt +10.5 @ Wake Forest (56.5)
VAN: 7-2ATS last 9 on the road
VAN: 12 of last 15 in Week 2- Under
VAN: 17 of last 23 on the road- Under
WF: 2-5ATS last 7 games
WF: 7 of last 10- Under
H2H: Road team is 5-0ATS last 5 meetings
Pick: SU- Wake Forest 31-21 / ATS- Vanderbilt / OU- Under
Georgia -42.5 vs. Ball State (51.5)
UGA: 25-16ATS as a favorite
UGA: 4 of last 5- Over
BALL: 2-10ATS last 12 in September
BALL: 1-4ATS last 5 vs. SEC opponents
BALL: Last 5 vs. SEC opponents- Over
Pick: SU- Georgia 56-3 / ATS- Georgia / OU- Over
Texas A&M -4 @ Miami- Florida (51.5)
TXAM: 14-7ATS last 21 games vs. NonConference opponents
TXAM: 8-5ATS as a road favorite
TXAM: 6-0ATS last 6 vs. ACC opponents
TXAM: 10 of 13 as a road favorite- Under
TXAM: 17 of last 24 on the road- Under
TXAM: 10 of last 11 in September- Under
MIA: 2-10ATS last 12 games
MIA: 1-6ATS last 7 at home
MIA: 1-4ATS last 5 vs. SEC opponents
MIA: 6 of last 7 vs. SEC opponents- Under
Pick: SU- Texas A&M 27-20 / ATS- Texas A&M / OU- Under
Ole Miss -7.5 @ Tulane (65.5)
MISS: 13-9ATS vs. winning teams
MISS: 6 of last 7- Over
MISS: 4 of last 5 on road- Over
TLN: 0-11SU last 11 vs. SEC opponents (1-4ATS last 5)
TLN: Last 5 home games- Over
TLN: Last 6 games- Over
H2H: Ole Miss 6-0SU last 6 vs. Tulane
Pick: SU- Ole Miss 42-28 / ATS- Ole Miss / OU- Over
Arkansas -37 vs. Kent State (57.5)
ARK: 6-2ATS last 8 games
ARK: 9-2ATS last 11 games in September
ARK: 11 of last 14- Over (9 of 12 at home- Over)
KENT: 2-8ATS last 9 games
KENT: 3-7ATS last 10 vs. SEC opponents
KENT: 4 of last 5 road games- Over
Pick: SU- Arkansas 48-10 / ATS- Arkansas / OU- Over
Missouri -20.5 vs. Middle Tennessee (47.5)
MIZ: 20-13ATS last 33 at home
MIZ: 12 of last 16- Under
MTSU: 3-9ATS Last 12 games vs. SEC opponents
MTSU: 1-4ATS last 5 on the road
Pick: SU- Missouri 31-10 / ATS- Missouri / OU- Under
Alabama -7 vs. Texas (54.5)
ALA: 16-5-1 ATS last 22 games as a home favorite
ALA: Won 56 straight games in regular season vs. NonConference opponents
ALA: Won 52 consecutive games at home
ALA: Saban 28-2 vs. former assistants
ALA: 6 of last 8 vs. Big XII opponents- Over
TEX: 1-5ATS last 6 as an underdog
TEX: 2-5ATS last 7 road games (0-3 ATS as road underdogs)
TEX: 3-6SU on road (lost by 7+ in 5 of 6 losses)
TEX: 4 of last 5 road games- Over
Pick: SU- Alabama 42-20 / ATS- Alabama / OU- Over
Mississippi State -8.5 vs. Arizona (59.5)
MSU: 4-1ATS last 5 games (7-2-1ATS last 10 at home)
MSU: 7-0ATS in Week 2
MSU: 24 of last 39- Under (6 of 9 at home- Under)
MSU: 6 of last 8 in September- Under
AZ: 0-6ATS last 6 in Week 2
AZ: 4 of last 5- Under
Pick: SU- Mississippi State 31-21 / ATS- Mississippi State / OU- Under
Auburn -6.5 @ California (53.5)
AUB: 4-0-1ATS last 5 games
AUB: 21-10ATS as a favorite
AUB: 10-3SU last 13 vs. PAC 12 opponents (4-1ATS last 5)
AUB: 7 of last 8- Over (4 of 5 on the road- Over)
CAL: 1-11SU last 12 as an underdog
CAL: Last 6 games- Over (4 of 5 at home-Over)
Pick: SU- Auburn 31-24 / ATS- Auburn / OU- Over
Top 5 College Picks
1- Alabama -7 vs. Texas
2- Ball State @ Georgia- Over 51.5
3- Ole Miss -7.5 @ Tulane
4- Colorado -3 vs. Nebraska
5- Oregon -6 @ Texas Tech
Top 5 NFL Picks
1- Browns +2.5 vs. Bengals
2- Saints -3 vs. Titans
3- Falcons -3.5 vs. Panthers
4- Seahawks -5.5 vs. Rams
5- Chiefs -4.5 vs. Lions
There you have it for Week Two. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia App and GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel LIVE every Thursday at 2pm. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts.
You can follow me on Twitter @thefishnation, on Instagram @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!