Best Bets 8/31/2023 (College Football- Week 1)
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, LIVE every Thursday at 2pm on the GrindCityMedia App, GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel, and GrindCityMedia.com )
Each week we’ll handicap all the SEC action, plus give you the Top 5 College Picks along with the Top 5 NFL Picks
Year to Date: SEC 1-0
SU 0-1
ATS 0-1OU
Here we go with Week One …
Florida +6.5 @ #14 Utah (45.5)
FLA: 5-13ATS last 18 games
FLA: 2-9ATS last 11 games vs. NonConference
FLA: 3-9ATS Last 12 on the road
FLA: 4-17SU last 21 on the road vs. ranked opponents
FLA: 7 of last 10 in Week 1- Under
UTAH: 25-1SU last 26 at home (5-1ATS in Last 6 at home)
UTAH: 5-0ATS last 5 games played in August
UTAH: 6 of last 8 on Thursday- Under
Pick: SU- Utah 27-14 / ATS- Utah / OU- Under
Kentucky -25.5 vs. Ball State (48.5)
UK: 32-18ATS last 50 Games
UK: 20-7ATS last 27 at home (7-1ATS at Home vs. NonConference)
UK: 13-3ATS last 16 vs. NonConference opponents
UK: Won 14 straight vs. MAC opponents (11-3ATS)
UK: 13 of last 14- Under (Last 5 at home- Under)
BALL: 2-9ATS last 11 in September
BALL: 7 of last 8 on road- Under (Last 5)
BALL: 9 of last 11- Under (Last 7)
Pick: SU- Kentucky 35-7 / ATS- Kentucky / OU- Under
#12 Tennessee -28 vs. Virginia (57.5)
UT: 7-2ATS last 9 Games (10-3ATS Last 13)
UT: 5-1ATS Last 6 at home
UT: 5 of 7 in September- Over
UT: 6 of last 8 vs. ACC opponents- Over
UT: 6 of last 8 vs. NonConference opponents- Over
UVA: 2-5ATS Last 7 games in September
UVA: 2-7ATS Last 9 games on Saturday
UVA: 6 of last 7 vs. SEC- Over
Pick: SU- Tennessee 56-17 / ATS- Tennessee / OU- Over
Auburn -36.5 vs. UMass (52.5)
AUB: 1-6ATS last 7 vs. NonConference opponents
AUB: 0-6ATS Last 6 Games in September
AUB: 2-5ATS as a Favorite
AUB: 6 of last 7 games- Over
AUB: 8 of 12 vs. Teams with a winning road record- Over
MASS: 4-1ATS in Last 5 road games
*****MASS: 9-0ATS in Last 9 games vs. SEC opponents*****
MASS: 7 of last 8 games in Week 1- Over
Pick: SU- Auburn 42-20 / ATS- UMass / OU- Over
#23 Texas A&M -37.5 vs. New Mexico (48.5)
TXAM: 21-12ATS last 33 at home
TXAM: 7-1ATS in Week 1
TXAM: 13-7ATS last 20 vs. NonConference opponents
TXAM: 5-1ATS Last 6 games vs. Mountain West Conference
TXAM: 18 of last 26 as a favorite- Under (10 of 14 as home favorite- Under)
TXAM: Last 10 games in September- Under
NM: 0-7ATS Last 7 games (4-19-1ATS Last 24 games)
NM: 2-12ATS Last 14 on the road
NM: 10 of last 12 on the road- Under
NM: 10 of last 14 in Week 1- Under
Pick: SU- Texas A&M 45-3 / ATS- Texas A&M / OU- Under
South Carolina +2.5 vs. #21 North Carolina (64.5)
SC: 3-1SU last 4 vs. Top 25 opponents
SC: 3-1SU in neutral site openers
SC: 6-1ATS last 7 in Week 1
SC: 6-2ATS Last 8 on Saturday
SC: 14 of 20 vs. ACC opponents- Under
UNC: 1-5ATS Last 6 vs. SEC opponents
UNC: 2-7-1ATS Last 10 games in Week 1
UNC: 5 of last 6 games- Under (4 of 5 on road- Under)
H2H: SC 13-2SU vs. teams from North Carolina (4-1 vs. UNC)
H2H: SC 4-1SU Last 5 meetings
H2H: 4 of last 5 meetings- Under
Pick: SU- South Carolina 28-24 / ATS- South Carolina / OU- Under
#4 Alabama -40 vs. Middle Tennessee (51.5)
ALA: 15-4ATS last 19 at home
*****ALA: Covered last 7 as a 31+ point favorite*****
ALA: 13-1ATS last 14 in Week 1
ALA: Nick Saban is 16-0SU in openers (14-2ATS)
MTSU: 3-8ATS Last 11 games vs. SEC opponents
MTSU: 8 of last 11- Over (4 of 5 on road- Over)
Pick: SU- Alabama 49-7 / ATS- Alabama / OU- Over
#5 LSU -2.5 vs. #8 Florida State (58.5)
LSU: 70-4SU last 74 vs. NonConference in regular season
LSU: 15-7SU last 22 vs. Top 10 opponents
LSU: 5-0SU in neutral openers vs. Top 25
LSU: 11-2SU Last 13 games vs. ACC opponents
LSU: 11-2SU in season openers when both teams ranked (won 6 straight)
LSU: 7 of last 8 games- Over (11 of 14 in Week 1- Over)
FSU: 5 of last 7 games- Over
Pick: SU- LSU 35-31 / ATS- LSU / OU- Over
Top 5 College Picks
1- TCU -21 vs. Colorado
2- Massachusetts +39 @ Auburn
3- Tennessee vs. Virginia- Over 57.5
4- Utah -6.5 vs. Florida
5- Colorado State +12.5 vs. Washington State
There you have it for Week Zero. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia App and GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel LIVE every Thursday at 2pm. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts.
You can follow me on Twitter @thefishnation, on Instagram @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!
