Best Bets 11/8/2023
NCAA Week 11
NFL Week 10
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, LIVE every Thursday at 2pm on the GrindCityMedia App, GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel, and GrindCityMedia.com)
Each week we’ll handicap all the SEC action, plus give you the Top 5 College Picks along with the Top 5 NFL Picks
Year to Date:
SEC 58-16
SU 40-34
ATS 40-34
O/U
College Football Top 5 (28-27)
NFL Top 5 (31-14)
Here we go with Week Eleven ……
South Carolina -13.5 vs. Vanderbilt (57.5)
SC: 6-3ATS at home vs. team with losing road record
SC: 13 of 23 at home- Under
VAN: 1-8ATS this season
VAN: 6-11ATS vs. losing teams
VAN: 17 of last 23 on the road- Under
VAN: 11 of last 14 in November- Under
H2H: SC 6-1-1ATS last 8 meetings
H2H: 11 of last 16 meetings- Under (5 of 7 at SC- Under)
Pick: SU- South Carolina 34-20 / ATS- South Carolina / OU- Under
Alabama -10.5 @ Kentucky (48.5)
ALA: 6-3ATS this season (5-1ATS last 6)
ALA: 36-30ATS as a double digit favorite vs. SEC opponents
ALA: 24-14ATS last 38 vs. SEC East
UK: 2-9ATS in Week 11
UK: 25 of 39 vs. SEC- Under
UK: 15 of last 22- Under (Last 5 in November- Under)
UK: 7 of 9 as an underdog- Under
H2H: Road team is 6-1ATS last 7 meetings
Pick: SU- Alabama 31-17 / ATS- Alabama / OU- Under
Tennessee -1 @ Missouri (58.5)
UT: 6-7ATS as a road favorite
UT: 5-13ATS last 18 in Week 11
UT: 11 of 17 vs. SEC- Over (10 of 14 vs. SEC East- Over)
UT: 6 of 8 games this season- Over (18 of 26- Over)
MIZ: 6-2ATS this season (16-8ATS last 24)
MIZ: 6-3ATS as a home underdog under Drinkwitz
MIZ: 10-3ATS last 13 vs. SEC East
MIZ: 5 of last 7- Over (5 of 7 at home- Over)
H2H: 5 of last 7 meetings- Over
Pick: SU- Missouri 31-28 / ATS- Missouri / OU- Over
Arkansas -3 vs. Auburn (48.5)
ARK: 29-15ATS last 44 games (10-6ATS last 16)
ARK: 7-3ATS vs. SEC opponents (15-8ATS vs. SEC West)
ARK: 16 of 22- Over (10 of 15 at home- Over)
AUB: 11-17ATS as an underdog
AUB: 4-10ATS in Week 11
AUB: 9 of last 15- Over
H2H: Favorite is 8-2ATS last 10 meetings
H2H: 8 of last 9 meetings- Over (4 of 5 at ARK- Over)
Pick: SU- Arkansas 28-24 / ATS- Arkansas / OU- Over
Georgia -10.5 vs. Ole Miss (58.5)
UGA: 34-17ATS vs. winning teams
UGA: 28-21ATS as a favorite
UGA: 32 of last 37 home wins have been by 14+ points
UGA: 16 of 24 at home- Under
OM: 9-17-1ATS as an underdog
OM: 18-28-1ATS vs. SEC opponents
OM: 19 of last 28- Under (7 of 8 on the road- Under)
OM: 9 of last 11 as an underdog- Under
H2H: 8 of last 9 meetings- Under
Pick: SU- Georgia 34-17 / ATS- Georgia / OU- Under
LSU -14 vs. Florida (63.5)
LSU: 9-2ATS at home (11-4ATS as a home favorite)
LSU: 11-2ATS after allowing 40+ points
LSU: 14-6ATS following a loss
LSU: last 13 games- Over
LSU: 10 of 13 as a home favorite- Over
FLA: 9-18ATS last 27
FLA: 4-11ATS on the road
FLA: 17 of last 25 on the road- Over
FLA: Last 10 vs. SEC West- Over
H2H: LSU 3-0ATS last 3 meetings
H2H: Last 5 meetings- Over
Pick: SU- LSU 42-24 / ATS- LSU / OU- Over
Texas A&M -18.5 vs. Mississippi State (43.5)
TXAM: 8-9ATS as a home favorite
TXAM: 9 of 13 in November- Under
TXAM: 20 of 32 as a favorite- Under (12 of 18 as a home favorite- Under)
MSU: 9-6ATS last 15 on the road
MSU: 8-6ATS vs. winning teams
MSU: 22 of 34 vs. SEC opponents- Under
MSU: 25 of 42- Under (8 of 9 on the road- Under)
H2H: MSU 7-3ATS last 10 meetings (covered last 2)
Pick: SU- Texas A&M 27-10 / ATS- Mississippi State / OU- Under
Top 5 College Picks
1- USC +15 @ Oregon
2- Michigan -4.5 @ Penn State
3- Georgia -10.5 vs. Ole Miss
4- Charlotte +12 vs. Memphis
5- UNLV -4 vs. Wyoming
Top 5 NFL Picks
1- Vikings +2.5 vs. Saints
2- Ravens -6 vs. Browns
3- Raiders +2 vs. Jets
4- Bills -7.5 vs. Broncos
5- Patriots +1.5 vs. Colts
There you have it for Week Eleven. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia App and GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel LIVE every Thursday at 2pm. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter @thefishnation, on Instagram @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!
