Best Bets 11/2/2023
College Football -Week 9
NFL- Week 8
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, LIVE every Thursday at 2pm on the GrindCityMedia App, GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel, and GrindCityMedia.com)
Each week we’ll handicap all the SEC action, plus give you the Top 5 College Picks along with the Top 5 NFL Picks
Year to Date:
SEC 52-14
SU 34-32
ATS 34-32
OU / College Football Top 5 (25-25)
NFL Top 5 (27-13)
Here we go with Week Ten ……
Florida -6 vs. Arkansas (48.5)
FLA: 7-3ATS vs. teams with a losing road record
FLA: Last 9 vs. SEC West- Over
FLA: 4 of last 5 games- Over
ARK: 22-41ATS last 63 vs. SEC
ARK: 15 of last 21- Over (11 of 15 on road- Over)
ARK: 12 of 16 on the road vs. teams with a winning home record- Over
H2H: FLA 9-2ATS last 11 meetings (4-1ATS @ home)
Pick: SU- Florida 31-20 / ATS- Florida / OU- Over
Tennessee -35 vs. UConn (52.5)
UT: 5-2ATS this season (12-4ATS last 16)
UT: 7-1ATS last 8 at home
UT: 8 of last 10 vs. NonConference opponents- Over
UT: 5 of 7 games this season- Over
UT: 13 of last 16 at home- Over
CN: 11 of 16 in Week 10- Over
CN: 6 of last 7 in November- Over
Pick: SU- Tennessee 48-7 / ATS- Tennessee / OU- Over
South Carolina -16 vs. Jacksonville State (55.5)
SC: 7-11ATS vs. winning teams
SC: 3-11-1ATS last 15 following an ATS win
SC: 5-10ATS last 15 in November
SC: 13 of 22 at home- Under
JAX: 4-1ATS last 5 vs. SEC opponents
JAX: 5-2ATS last 7 on a Saturday
JAX: 5 of last 6 on a Saturday- Under
Pick: SU- South Carolina 27-24 / ATS- Jacksonville State / OU- Under
Ole Miss -3 vs. Texas A&M (53.5)
OM: 5-2ATS this season (4-1ATS last 5 @ home)
OM: 15-10ATS vs. winning teams
OM: 5 of 7 games this season- Under (19 of 27- Under)
OM: 13 of 17 vs. winning teams- Under
TXAM: 2-9ATS last 11 on the road
TXAM: 2-5ATS last 7 in November
TXAM: 9 of last 12 in November- Under
TXAM: 17 of last 24 on the road- Under
H2H: Favorite is 5-2ATS last 7 meetings
H2H: 7 of last 8 meetings- Under (5 of last 6 @ Ole Miss- Under)
Pick: SU- Ole Miss 28-24 / ATS- Ole Miss / OU- Under
Georgia -16 vs. Missouri (55.5)
UGA: 31-52ATS last 83 at home following a conference win
UGA: 8 of last 11 in Week 10- Under
UGA: 8 of 12 at home- Under
MIZ: 5-2ATS this season (15-8ATS last 23)
MIZ: 5-1ATS last 6 on the road
MIZ: 9-4ATS last 13 vs. SEC East
MIZ: 7 of 10 on the road- Under (11 of 15 as a road dog- Under)
MIZ: 9 of 14 vs. SEC- Under
H2H: MIZ 7-3ATS last 10
H2H: Last 2 Meetings- Under
Pick: SU- Georgia 31-17 / ATS- Missouri / OU- Under
Auburn -12 @ Vanderbilt (49.5)
AUB: 6-4-1ATS last 11
AUB: 22-11ATS as a favorite
AUB: 7 of 8 vs. team with a winning record- Under
AUB: 14 of 18 as a favorite- Under
VAN: 1-7ATS this season
VAN: 8-24ATS last 32 at home
VAN: 6-21ATS as a home underdog
VAN: 26 of 41 vs. SEC- Under
H2H: 5 of last 6 meetings- Under
Pick: SU- Auburn 28-14 / ATS- Auburn / OU- Under
Kentucky -4 @ Mississippi State (45.5)
UK: 20-11ATS last 31
UK: 11-4ATS on road vs. teams with a winning home record
UK: 21-12ATS last 33 as a favorite
UK: 14 of last 21- Under (24 of 38 vs. SEC- Under)
MSU: 1-6ATS this season
MSU: 1-9ATS as a home underdog
MSU: 6-15ATS last 21 at home
MSU: 21 of 33 vs. SEC opponents- Under
H2H: favorite is 4-2ATS last 6 meetings
H2H: 5 of last 6 meetings- Under (6 of 7 at MSU- Under)
Pick: SU- Kentucky 21-13 / ATS- Kentucky / OU- Under
Alabama -3 vs. LSU (59.5)
ALA: 0-5-1ATS last 6 games in November
ALA: 4 of last 6 vs. SEC opponents- Over
ALA: 7 of last 10- Over
LSU: 14-9ATS as an underdog
LSU: 15-10ATS last 25 on the road (8-3ATS as a road dog)
LSU: All 7 games this season- Over (Last 12- Over)
LSU: 15-8SU last 23 vs. Top 10
H2H: Road team is 6-1ATS last 7 meetings
H2H: LSU 4-2ATS last 6 meetings
Pick: SU- LSU 34-28 / ATS- LSU / OU- Over
Top 5 College Picks
1- Boston College +3 @ Syracuse
2- Jacksonville State +15.5 @ South Carolina
3- USF +13.5 @ Memphis
4- Florida -6 vs. Arkansas
5- Nebraska -3 @ Michigan State
Top 5 NFL Picks
1- Steelers -3 vs. Titans
2- Saints -7 vs. Bears
3- Falcons -4.5 vs. Vikings
4- Eagles -3 vs. Cowboys
5- Bengals -3 vs. Bills
There you have it for Week Ten. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia App and GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel LIVE every Thursday at 2pm. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter @thefishnation, on Instagram @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!
