Best Bets 11/3/22 (WEEK TEN)
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, Live every Thursday at 10am on the GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel and GrindCityMedia.com)
To help you with your bets this football season, we’ll handicap all the SEC action according to the trends. Plus, I’ll have my 5 picks and 5 over/unders each week along with my 5 best NFL picks.
SEC: 52-15 SU 34-33 ATS 40-27 OU
College Picks- Best Bet: 7-3ATS / 5 Picks: 24-26ATS / 5 OU: 27-23 (Best OU 7-3)
NFL Picks- 5 Picks: 24-16 ATS (Best Bet 5-3 ATS)
Here we go with Week Ten ……
Texas A&M -3 vs. Florida (54)
TXAM: 20-10ATS last 30 at home (covered 4 of last 6)
TXAM: 4-2ATS last 6 following a loss
TXAM: Last 7 as a home dog- Over
FLA: 3-11ATS last 14 games (1-8ATS last 9 on road)
FLA: 1-8ATS last 9 vs. losing teams
FLA: Last 8 vs. SEC West- Over
H2H: TXAM 2-0SU last 2 meetings (2-0ATS)
Picks: SU- Texas A&M 31-27 / ATS- Texas A&M / OU- Over
Kentucky -2 @ Missouri (43)
UK: 7-3ATS last 10 games
UK: 9-3ATS last 12 on the road vs. teams with a winning home record
UK: 8 of last 9- Under
MIZ: 6-11ATS last 17 vs. winning teams
MIZ: Last 8 vs. winning teams- Under
MIZ: Last 7 vs. SEC- Under
H2H: UK 5-2ATS last 7 meetings
H2H: 6 of last 8 meetings- Under
Picks: SU- / ATS- / OU-
Georgia -9 vs. Tennessee (66)
UGA: 29-50ATS at home following a conference win
UGA: 1-4ATS after scoring 40+ in previous game
UGA: 9 of last 15 vs. SEC East- Over
UT: 6-1ATS this season
UT: 6 of last 8 vs. SEC- Over
UT: 10 of last 13 games- Over
H2H: UT 10-6SU when both teams are ranked
H2H: UT 9-3SU when entering game undefeated
H2H: Road Team is 4-1ATS last 5 meetings
H2H: 8 of last 10 meetings- Over (Last 3- Over)
Picks: SU- Tennessee 35-32 / ATS- Tennessee / OU- Over
Arkansas -13.5 vs. Liberty (64)
ARK: 2-5ATS last 7 at home
ARK: 4-11-2ATS after scoring 40+ points in previous game
ARK: 8 of last 9 at home- Over
LIB: 4-0ATS vs. teams with a winning record
LIB: Last 4 road games- Over
Picks: SU- Arkansas 38-35 / ATS- Liberty / OU- Over
Alabama -13 @ LSU (58)
ALA: 35-26ATS as double digit favorite vs. SEC opponents
ALA: 7-0ATS last 7 after less than 100 rushing yards in previous game
ALA: 7 of last 10- Under
LSU: 0-4-1ATS after allowing more than 280 passing yards in previous game
LSU: 5 of last 6 following a win- Under
LSU: 9 of last 14 games- Under (5 of 7- Under)
H2H: Road team has covered last 6 (Favorite is 6-3ATS last 9)
H2H: ALA 5-1ATS last 6 @ LSU (covered last 4)
H2H: 10 of last 13 meetings- Under (6 of 7 @ LSU- Under)
Picks: SU- Alabama 34-20 / ATS- Alabama / OU- Under
South Carolina -7 @ Vanderbilt (49)
SC: 2-6ATS last 8 vs. SEC East
SC: 2-9ATS last 11 in November
SC: 5-14ATS last 19 vs. SEC
VAN: 5-3ATS last 8 vs. SEC (5-1ATS last 6 vs. SEC East)
VAN: 8-1ATS last 9 in November
VAN: 21 of last 32 vs. SEC- Under
H2H: 11 of last 15 meetings- Under
H2H: 5 of last 7 at VAN- Under
Picks: SU- South Carolina 27-21 / ATS- Vanderbilt / OU- Under
Mississippi State -13.5 vs. Auburn (52.5)
MSU: 6-9ATS last 15 at home
MSU: 18 of last 25 vs. SEC- Under
MSU: 6 of last 7 at home- Under
AUB: 7-3ATS last 10 vs. SEC West
AUB: 10 of last 13 on the road- Under
AUB: 8 of last 14- Under
H2H: AUB 4-2ATS last 6 meetings
H2H: 7 of last 10 meetings- Under (Last 8 at MSU- Under)
Picks: SU- Mississippi State 32-20 / ATS- Auburn / OU- Under
TOP 5 COLLEGE PICKS ATS
Best Bet- UCF -3.5 @ Memphis
2- Washington State -5 @ Stanford