Best Bets 11/10/22 (WEEK ELEVEN)
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, Live every Thursday at 10am on the GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel and GrindCityMedia.com)
To help you with your bets this football season, we’ll handicap all the SEC action according to the trends. Plus, I’ll have my 5 picks and 5 over/unders each week along with my 5 best NFL picks.
SEC: 55-19 SU 37-37 ATS 42-32 OU
College Picks- Best Bet: 8-3ATS / 5 Picks: 28-27ATS / 5 OU: 30-25 (Best OU 8-3)
NFL Picks- 5 Picks: 27-18 ATS (Best Bet 6-3 ATS)
Here we go with Week Eleven ……
Tennessee -21 vs. Missouri (56.5)
UT: 6-2ATS this season
UT: 6-1ATS last 7 following a loss
UT: 8 of last 12 in November- Under
MIZ: 8-15ATS last 23 games
MIZ: 5-12ATS last 17 on the road
MIZ: 7 of 8 games this year- Under (Last 8 vs. SEC- Under)
H2H: UT 5-2ATS last 7 meetings
H2H: Favorite is 5-2ATS last 7 meetings
Picks: SU- Tennessee 41-14 / ATS- Tennessee / OU- Under
Kentucky -17.5 vs. Vanderbilt (50)
UK: 8-3ATS last 11 games
UK: 17-5ATS last 22 at home
UK: 9 of last 10 games- Under (7 of 8 vs. SEC East- Under)
VAN: 14-21ATS last 35 as an underdog (0-5ATS vs. winning teams)
VAN: 13 of 16 on road vs. teams with winning home record- Under)
VAN: 13 of last 18 on the road- Under
H2H: Favorite is 8-5ATS last 13 meetings
H2H: 7 of last 10 meetings- Under (4 of last 5 @ UK- Under)
Picks: SU- Kentucky 34-13 / ATS- Kentucky / OU- Under
LSU -3 @ Arkansas (63.5)
LSU: 13-7ATS on the road
LSU: 7-2ATS last 9 vs. SEC
LSU: 9 of last 15- Under
ARK: 17-38ATS last 55 vs. SEC
ARK: 2-6ATS last 8 at home
ARK: 6 of last 8 as a home dog- Under
H2H: LSU has won 5 of 6 meetings (4-2 in Fayetteville)
H2H: 5 of last 6 meetings at ARK- Under
H2H: 4 of last 5 meetings- Under (Last 2- Under)
Picks: SU- LSU 31-27 / ATS- LSU / OU- Under
Alabama -12.5 @ Ole Miss (63.5)
ALA: 1-4ATS last 5 in November
ALA: 7 of last 11- Under
ALA: Last 7 following a loss- Under
OM: 12-7ATS vs. winning teams (won 3 of last 4 vs. Top 25)
OM: 12 of last 16- Under
OM: 9 of last 11 vs. winning teams- Under
H2H: OM 7-3ATS last 10 meetings at home
Picks: SU- Ole Miss 32-31 / ATS- Ole Miss / OU- Under
Florida -8 vs. South Carolina (59)
FLA: 4-11ATS last 15 games (1-8ATS last 9 at home)
FLA: 2-16ATS last 18 as a favorite
FLA: 6 of 8 games this season- Over (last 3- Over)
SC: 15-11ATS last 26 on the road
SC: 9 of last 10 as a road dog- Over
SC: 11 of last 13 on the road- Over
H2H: SC 4-1-1ATS Last 6 meetings (3-0-1ATS last 4 @ FLA)
H2H: Road team is 6-2-1ATS last 9 meetings
H2H: Last 5 meetings- Over
Picks: SU- Florida 34-30 / ATS- South Carolina / OU- Over
Georgia -16.5 @ Mississippi State (53.5)
UGA: 22-13ATS as a favorite
UGA: 7-1ATS last 8 on the road (18-6ATS on road vs. SEC)
UGA: 8 of last 11- Under (Last 4 on road- Under)
MSU: 6-10ATS last 16 at home
MSU: 18 of last 26 vs. SEC- Under
MSU: 22 of last 36 games- Under
H2H: 4 of last 6 meetings- Under
Picks: SU- Georgia 41-10 / ATS- Georgia / OU- Under
Auburn -2.5 vs. Texas A&M (49)
AUB: 4-10ATS last 14 games
AUB: 2-6ATS last 8 home games
AUB: 11 of last 13 as a favorite- Under
TXAM: 7-0ATS on road vs. teams with a losing home record
TXAM: 15 of last 21 on road- Under
TXAM: 5 of last 6 vs. losing teams- Under
H2H: TXAM 4-1ATS last 5 @ AUB
H2H: Road team has won and covered 8 of last 10
Picks: SU- Texas A&M 24-21 / ATS- Texas A&M / OU- Under
TOP 5 COLLEGE PICKS ATS
Best Bet- Georgia -16.5 @ Mississippi State
2- LSU -3 @ Arkansas
3- Tulane -2 vs. UCF
4- Kansas +4 @ Texas Tech
5- Illinois -6.5 vs. Purdue
TOP 5 COLLEGE OVER/UNDERS
Best Bet- Charlotte @ MTSU Under 67
2- Georgia @ Mississippi State Under 53.5
3- SMU @ USF Under 73
4- Vanderbilt @ Kentucky Under 50
5- UMass @ Arkansas State Under 50
TOP 5 NFL PICKS
Best Bet- Miami -4 vs. Cleveland
2- LA Rams -3 vs. Arizona
3- Broncos @ Titans Over 39
4- Chicago -2.5 vs. Detroit
5- Buffalo -3.5 vs. Minnesota
There you have it for Week Eleven. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel live every Thursday at 10am. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter @thefishnation, on Instagram @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!
