Best Bets 11/23/22
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, Live every Thursday at 10am on the GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel and GrindCityMedia.com)
To help you with your bets this football season, we’ll handicap all the SEC action according to the trends. Plus, I’ll have my 5 picks and 5 over/unders each week along with my 5 best NFL picks.
SEC: 64-25 SU 45-44 ATS 51-38 OU
College Picks- Best Bet: 9-4ATS / 5 Picks: 33-32ATS / 5 OU: 38-27 (Best OU 10-3)
NFL Picks- 5 Picks: 32-23 ATS (Best Bet 8-3 ATS)
Here we go with Week Thirteen ……
Ole Miss -1.5 vs. Mississippi State (59)
OM: 13-7ATS vs. winning teams
OM: 4 of 5 vs. SEC opponents- Over
OM: 5 of last 6 games- Over
MSU: 1-4ATS last 5 games
MSU: 2-6ATS last 8 vs. SEC opponents
MSU: 6 of last 8 games- Over
H2H: OM won 8 of 11 meetings at home
H2H: Last 5 meetings- Under (8 of 10 @ OM- Under)
Picks: SU- Ole Miss 41-35 / ATS- Ole Miss / OU- Over
Arkansas -3 @ Missouri (55.5)
ARK: 19-38ATS last 57 games vs. SEC opponents
ARK: 12-18ATS last 30 following a win
ARK: 4-12-2ATS last 18 after scoring 40+ points
MIZ: 9-5ATS last 14 games
MIZ: 11 of last 14 games- Under
MIZ: 9 of last 11 games vs. SEC- Under
H2H: MIZ won 5 straight meetings at home (4-1ATS)
H2H: Home Team is 9-1ATS last 10 meetings
H2H: 8 of last 10 meetings- Under (4 of last 5 meetings at MIZ- Under)
Picks: SU- Missouri 28-24 / ATS- Missouri / OU- Under
Florida +9.5 @ Florida State (58)
UF: 2-9ATS last 11 on the road
UF: 1-8ATS last 9 vs. NonConference opponents
UF: 4 of last 5 in November- Under
FSU: 4-0ATS last 4 games
FSU: 6-0ATS last 6 games in November
FSU: 8-1ATS last 9 games following a SU win
H2H: Favorite is 16-5ATS last 21 meetings
H2H: 15 of last 21 meetings- Under (7 of 10 @ FSU- Under)
Picks: SU- Florida State 31-21 / ATS- Florida State / OU- Under
South Carolina +15 @ Clemson (50.5)
SC: 4-2ATS last 6 games
SC: 9 of last 11 as a road dog- Over
SC: 11 of last 14 on the road- Over
CLEM: 2-9ATS last 11 vs. NonConference opponents
CLEM: 10 of last 15 on a Saturday- Over
CLEM: 6 of last 9 games- Over
H2H: Road team has covered last 4 meetings
Picks: SU- Clemson 31-28 / ATS- South Carolina / OU- Over
Georgia -36 vs. Georgia Tech (49.5)
UGA: 23-14ATS as a favorite
UGA: 5-1ATS following an ATS loss
UGA: 9 of last 13- Under (6 of 7 at home- Under)
GT: 0-5ATS last 5 vs. SEC opponents
GT: 3-15ATS last 18 vs. NonConference opponents
GT: Last 5 NonConference games- Under
H2H: UGA 4-0ATS last 4 meetings (outscored GT 180-35)
Picks: SU- Georgia 41-3 / ATS- Georgia / OU- Under
Kentucky -3 vs. Louisville (43.5)
UK: 21-6ATS last 27 vs. winning teams
UK: 18-6ATS at home last 24 games
UK: 11 of last 12- Under
LOU: 1-6ATS last 7 vs. SEC
LOU: 4 of last 5 vs. winning teams- Under
LOU: 4 of last 5 games- Under
H2H: UK won last 3 meetings
H2H: UK 4-1ATS last 5 meetings
Picks: SU- Kentucky 24-17 / ATS- Kentucky / OU- Under
Alabama -22 vs. Auburn (49)
ALA: 15-3ATS last 18 at home
ALA: 10-0ATS vs. teams with a losing record
ALA: 8 of last 12- Under
AUB: 6-10ATS last 16 games
AUB: 3-7ATS last 10 vs. winning teams
AUB: 12 of last 15 following a SU win- Under
H2H: Home team is 8-2ATS last 10 meetings
H2H: 8 of last 11 @ ALA- Under
Picks: SU- Alabama 34-10 / ATS- Alabama / OU- Under
LSU -10 @ Texas A&M (46.5)
LSU: 7-3ATS last 10 vs. SEC
LSU: 13-8ATS last 21 on the road
LSU: 7 of last 11 vs. SEC opponents- Under
TXAM: 2-8ATS this season
TXAM: 9 of last 11 in November- Under
TXAM: 7 of last 11- Under
H2H: LSU has covered last 11 meetings (5-0ATS @ TXAM)
H2H: 2 of last 3- Under
Picks: SU- LSU 31-13 / ATS- LSU / OU- Under
Tennessee -14 @ Vanderbilt (66.5)
UT: 9-14ATS last 23 vs. SEC
UT: 8 of 11 vs. SEC- Over
UT: 12 of last 16- Over
VAN: 10-2ATS last 12 in November
VAN: 7-2ATS last 9 vs. SEC East
VAN: 7 of last 12- Over
H2H: VAN 8-2ATS last 10 meetings (5-1ATS last 6)
H2H: VAN 4-1ATS last 5 at home
Picks: SU- Tennessee 41-28 / ATS- Vanderbilt / OU- Over
TOP 5 COLLEGE PICKS ATS
Best Bet- Ohio State -7.5 vs. Michigan
2- LSU -10 vs. Texas A&M
3- Tulane +2.5 @ Cincinnati
4- BYU -6.5 @ Stanford
5- Troy -13.5 @ Arkansas State
TOP 5 COLLEGE OVER/UNDERS
Best Bet- LSU @ Texas A&M Under 46.5
2- Georgia Tech @ Georgia Under 49.5
3- Michigan @ Ohio State Over 57
4- Tulane @ Cincinnati Over 46.5
5- Oregon @ Oregon State Over 56.5
TOP 5 NFL PICKS
Best Bet- Patriots @ Vikings Under 42.5
2- Dolphins -12 vs. Texans
3- Cowboys -9 vs. Giants
4- Steelers @ Colts Under 39.5
5- Bills -9 @ Lions
There you have it for Week Thirteen. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel live every Thursday at 10am. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter @thefishnation, on Instagram @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!
