Best Bets 11/16/22
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, Live every Thursday at 10am on the GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel and GrindCityMedia.com)
To help you with your bets this football season, we’ll handicap all the SEC action according to the trends. Plus, I’ll have my 5 picks and 5 over/unders each week along with my 5 best NFL picks.
WEEK TWELVE
Florida -14 @ Vanderbilt (57)
FLA: 3-16ATS last 19 as a favorite
FLA: 2-8ATS last 10 vs. losing teams
FLA: 14 of last 20 on the road- Over
VAN: 6-2ATS last 8 vs. SEC East
VAN: 9-2ATS last 11 in November
VAN: 7 of last 11- Over
H2H: Home team is 5-1ATS last 6 meetings
H2H: 12 of last 17 meetings- Over (6 of 8 at VAN- Over)
Picks: SU- Florida 34-24 / ATS- Vanderbilt / OU- Over
Texas A&M -33 vs. UMass (47.5)
TXAM: 2-7ATS this season
TXAM: 5-7ATS last 12 as a home favorite
TXAM: 9 of last 13 as a home favorite- Under
MASS: 8-0ATS last 8 vs. SEC opponents
MASS: 6 of last 8 games- Under
Picks: SU- Texas A&M 35-10 / ATS- UMass / OU- Under
Georgia -22.5 @ Kentucky (49.5)
UGA: 23-13ATS last 36 as a favorite
UGA: 8-1ATS last 9 road games
UGA: 8 of last 12 games- Under
UK: 8-16ATS off of a conference loss
UK: 8 of last 9 vs. SEC East- Under
UK: 8 of 9 games this season- under
H2H: UGA 7-2ATS last 9 meetings (UGA 5-1ATS @ UK)
H2H: Last 3 meetings- Under
Picks: SU- Georgia 35-10 / ATS- Georgia / OU- Under
Auburn -5.5 vs. Western Kentucky (52)
AUB: 5-10ATS last 15 games
AUB: 0-6ATS last 6 vs. NonConference opponents
AUB: 12 of last 14 as a favorite- Under
WKU: 5-1ATS last 6 games
WKU: 5-0ATS last 5 on the road
WKU: Last 6 games- Under
Picks: SU- Auburn 27-24 / ATS- Western Kentucky / OU- Under
Tennessee -21.5 @ South Carolina (66)
UT: 5-1ATS last 6 games
UT: 11 of last 15 games- Over
UT: 7 of last 10 vs. SEC- Over
SC: 6-15ATS vs. SEC teams
SC: 2-7ATS vs. winning teams
SC: 7 of last 11 vs. SEC- Over
H2H: Favorite has covered last 3 meetings
H2H: Last 3 Meetings- Over
Picks: SU- Tennessee 46-21 / ATS- Tennessee / OU- Over
Missouri -28.5 vs. New Mexico State (46.5)
MIZ: 0-6ATS last 6 games vs. losing teams
MIZ: 4-13ATS last 17 as a favorite
MIZ: 11 of 13 games- Under
NMST: 7-1ATS last 8 vs. losing teams
NMST: Last 5 on road vs. teams with losing home record- Under
Picks: SU- Missouri 30-13 / ATS- New Mexico State / OU- Under
Ole Miss -2.5 @ Arkansas (61)
OM: 15-23-1ATS last 39 vs. SEC opponents
OM: 1-4ATS last 5 following an ATS win
OM: 4 of last 5 games- Over
ARK: 16-6ATS last 22 as an underdog
ARK: 11-6ATS last 17 vs. SEC West
ARK: 8 of last 11 at home- Over
H2H: ARK 7-1ATS last 8 meetings (underdog in all 8)
H2H: ARK 9-1ATS last 10 meetings at home
Picks: SU- Ole Miss 32-30 / ATS- Arkansas / OU- Over
LSU -14.5 vs. UAB (52.5)
LSU: 8-3ATS as a home favorite
LSU: 6-1ATS last 7 at home
LSU: 11 of 17 at home- Over (6 of 9 as home favorite- Over)
UAB: 0-5ATS last 5 vs. SEC opponents
UAB: 0-4ATS last 4 on the road
UAB: Last 4 in November- Over
Picks: SU- LSU 35-20 / ATS- LSU / OU- Over
TOP 5 COLLEGE PICKS ATS
Best Bet- New Mexico State +28 @ Missouri
2- Western Kentucky +5.5 @ Auburn
3- UMass +33 @ Texas A&M
4- Cal -5.5 vs. Stanford
5- Washington State -4 @ Arizona
TOP 5 COLLEGE OVER/UNDERS
Best Bet- Northwestern @ Purdue Under 49
2- Florida @ Vanderbilt Under 57.5
3- UMass @ Texas A&M Under 50.5
4- Akron @ Buffalo Under 55
5- UTSA @ Rice Under 61
TOP 5 NFL PICKS
Best Bet- Patriots -3 vs. Jets
2- Chargers +7 vs. Chiefs
3- Bills -8.5 vs. Browns
4- Packers -3 vs. Titans
5- Cardinals +8 vs. 49ers
There you have it for Week Twelve. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel live every Thursday at 10am. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter @thefishnation, on Instagram @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!
