Best Bets 11/21/2024
NCAA Week 13
NFL Week 12
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, LIVE every Monday and Thursday at 2pm on the GrindCityMedia App, GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel, and GrindCityMedia.com)
Each week we’ll handicap all the SEC action, plus give you the Top 5 College Picks along with the Top 5 NFL Picks.
Year to Date:
SEC Picks:
74-20 SU
50-44 ATS
53-41 OU
College Football Top 5 (33-27)
NFL Top 5 (27-28)
Here we go with Week Thirteen…
Ole Miss -10 @ Florida (55.5)
OM: 9-3ATS last 12
OM: 11 of last 14 on the road- Under
OM: 8 of 9 games- Under
FLA: 16-23ATS last 39
FLA: 13-14ATS vs. SEC opponents
FLA: 7-13ATS at home
H2H: OM 5-2ATS last 7 meetings
Pick: SU- Ole Miss 34-17 / ATS- Ole Miss / OU- Under
Georgia -42 vs. UMass (55.5)
UGA: 32-29ATS as a favorite
UGA: 17-10ATS in November
UGA: 10 of 15- Under
MASS: 2-28SU last 30 road games
MASS: 3-7ATS in Week 13
Pick: SU- Georgia 48-3 / ATS- Georgia / OU- Under
Tennessee -41 vs. UTEP (52.5)
UT: 19-10ATS as a favorite
UT: 10-4ATS following a loss
UT: 17 of 24 at home- Over
UTEP: 1-7ATS vs. SEC opponents
UTEP: 2-5ATS on Saturday on the road
UTEP: 17 of 22 in November- Over
Pick: SU- Tennessee 49-7 / ATS- Tennessee / OU- Over
Texas -20.5 vs. Kentucky (47.5)
TEX: 9-5ATS last 14 games
TEX: 7-3ATS last 10 at home
TEX: 14 of last 20- Under (7 of 10 this year- Under)
UK: 31 of 48 vs. SEC opponents- Under
UK: 12 of 16 as a road dog- Under
UK: 22 of 34- Under
Pick: SU- Texas 31-10 / ATS- Texas / OU- Under
Arkansas -23 vs. Louisiana Tech (50.5)
ARK: 3-9ATS last 12 at home
ARK: 12-23-1ATS as a favorite
ARK: 23 of 34- Over
LT: 4-2ATS last 6
LT: 11 of 14 in November- Over
Pick: SU- Arkansas 34-17 / ATS- Louisiana Tech / OU- Over
Missouri -8 @ Mississippi State (57.5)
MIZ: 14-7ATS last 21
MIZ: 9-3ATS on the road
MIZ: 10 of 16- Under
MSU: 2-13ATS as a home dog
MSU: 9-20ATS last 29 at home
MSU: 25 of 42 vs. SEC- Under
Pick: SU- Missouri 34-21/ ATS- Missouri / OU- Under
Alabama -14 @ Oklahoma (47.5)
ALA: 13-7ATS last 20
ALA: 38-33ATS as double digit favorite vs. SEC
ALA: 13 of 19- Over
OKL: 6-10ATS last 16
OKL: 2-5ATS as an underdog
OKL: 9 of 15 at home- Over
Pick: SU- Alabama 34-17 / ATS- Alabama / OU- Over
Texas A&M -2.5 @ Auburn (47.5)
TXAM: 8-1ATS on the road vs. teams with a losing home record
TXAM: 9-8ATS as a road favorite
TXAM: 17 of 29 on the road- Under
AUB: 3-18SU last 21 as an underdog
AUB: 27 of 40 vs. SEC- Under
AUB: 19 of 24 following a SU win- Under
H2H: TXAM 4-2ATS @ AUB
H2H: Favorite is 6-1ATS last 7 meetings
Pick: SU- Texas A&M 24-21 / ATS- Texas A&M / OU- Under
LSU -7.5 vs. Vanderbilt (54.5)
LSU: 15-5ATS as a home favorite
LSU: 15-8ATS following a loss
LSU: 7 of last 9- Under
VAN: 8-14ATS last 22
VAN: 6-37SU vs. SEC teams on the road
VAN: 20 of 29 on the road- Under
H2H: LSU won 9 straight by 28.4ppg
H2H: 5 of last 6- Under
Pick: SU- LSU 31-21 / ATS- LSU / OU- Under
Top 5 College Picks
1- Ole Miss -9.5 @ Florida
2- SMU -9.5 @ Virginia
3- Rice -6.5 @ UAB
4- USF -16 vs. Tulsa
5- Alabama -14 @ Oklahoma
Top 5 NFL Picks
1- Texans -7.5 vs. Titans
2- Lions -7.5 @ Colts
3- Dolphins -7 vs. Patriots
4- Seahawks -1 vs. Cardinals
5- Chargers +3 vs. Ravens
There you have it for Week Thirteen. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia App and GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel LIVE every Monday and Thursday at 2pm. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter X @thefishnation, on Instagram and Threads @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!