Best Bets 11/14/2024
NCAA Week 12
NFL Week 11
Best Bets Week Twelve
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, LIVE every Monday and Thursday at 2pm on the GrindCityMedia App, GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel, and GrindCityMedia.com)
Each week we’ll handicap all the SEC action, plus give you the Top 5 College Picks along with the Top 5 NFL Picks.
Year to Date:
SEC Picks:
68-20 SU
48-40 ATS
51-37 OU
College Football Top 5 (31-24)
NFL Top 5 (23-27)
Here we go with Week Twelve…
Texas -14 @ Arkansas (57.5)
TEX: 9-4ATS last 13
TEX: 6-3ATS on the road
TEX: 13 of 19- Under (6 of 7 on the road- Under)
ARK: 27-45ATS vs. SEC opponents
ARK: 5-15ATS last 20 at home
ARK: 9 of 14 as a home dog- Under
Pick: SU- Texas 35-20 / ATS- Texas / OU- Under
Auburn -24 vs. Louisiana Monroe (45.5)
AUB: 21-16ATS at home on Saturday
AUB: 23-16ATS as a favorite
AUB: 19 of 24 as a favorite- Under
ULM: 2-6ATS vs. SEC opponents
ULM: 2-6ATS last 8 in November
ULM: 4 of last 6 in Week 12- Under
H2H: AUB 11-0SU (Average Score 45-9)
Pick: SU- Auburn 35-10 / ATS- Auburn / OU- Under
LSU -4.5 @ Florida (54.5)
LSU: 3-7ATS last 10
LSU: 3-5ATS as a road favorite
LSU: 2-5ATS following a double digit home loss
LSU: 17 of last 24- Over
FLA: 5-2ATS last 7
FLA: 19-11-2ATS as an underdog
FLA: 6 of last 8- Over (13 of 16- Over)
H2H: Underdog is 7-1ATS last 8 meetings
H2H: Last 6 meetings- Over
Pick: SU- Florida 29-28 / ATS- Florida / OU- Over
South Carolina -12 vs. Missouri (44.5)
SC: 7-2ATS this season
SC: 9 of last 15- Under
SC: 18 of 31 at home- Under
MIZ: 13 of 18 as a road dog- Under
MIZ: 17 of 27 on the road- Under
MIZ: 21 of 35- Under
H2H: Home team is 6-3ATS last 9 meetings
H2H: 10 of last 12 meetings- Under
Pick: SU- South Carolina 28-14 / ATS- South Carolina / OU- Under
Georgia -9 vs. Tennessee (48.5)
UGA: 3-9ATS last 12
UGA: 1-7ATS vs. SEC opponents
UGA: 9 of last 14- Under
UT: 22-13ATS last 35
UT: 8 of 11 on the road- Under
UT: 5 of last 6- Under
H2H: Road team is 5-2ATS last 7 meetings
H2H: Last 2 meetings- Under
Pick: SU- Georgia 24-21 / ATS- Tennessee / OU- Under
Texas A&M -39.5 vs. New Mexico State (54.5)
TXAM: 27-16ATS last 43 at Home
TXAM: 15-10ATS last 25 vs. Non-conference opponents
TXAM: 4 of last 5- Over
NMST: 3-8ATS last 11
NMST: 0-5ATS on the road
NMST: Last 5- Over
Pick: SU- Texas A&M 51-10 / ATS- Texas A&M / OU- Over
Top 5 College Picks
1- Texas -14 @ Arkansas
2- Tennessee +9.5 @ Georgia
3- Oregon -14 @ Wisconsin
4- Memphis -14 vs. UAB
5- BYU -3.5 vs. Kansas
Top 5 NFL Picks
1- Bears +6 vs. Packers
2- Saints -1 vs. Browns
3- 49ers -6.5 vs. Seahawks
4- Eagles -3.5 vs. Commanders
5- Cowboys +7.5 vs. Texans
There you have it for Week Twelve. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia App and GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel LIVE every Monday and Thursday at 2pm. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter X @thefishnation, on Instagram and Threads @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!
