Best Bets 11/23/2023

NCAA Week 13

NFL Week 12

By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, LIVE every Thursday at 2pm on the GrindCityMedia App, GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel, and GrindCityMedia.com)

Each week we’ll handicap all the SEC action, plus give you the Top 5 College Picks along with the Top 5 NFL Picks

Year to Date:

SEC 70-19

SU 49-40

ATS 46-43

OU / College Football Top 5 (37-28) / NFL Top 5 (37-18)

Here we go with Week Thirteen ……

Ole Miss -10.5 @ Mississippi State (55.5)

OM: 20 of last 30- Under

OM: 7 of 9 on the road- Under

MSU: 2-8ATS this season

MSU: 1-10ATS last 11 as a home underdog

MSU: 22 of last 35 vs. SEC opponents- Under

H2H: Road Team is 7-1ATS last 8 meetings

H2H: 9 of last 10 meetings- Under (7 of 8 at MSU- Under)

Pick: SU- Ole Miss 34-20 / ATS- Ole Miss / OU- Under

Missouri -7.5 @ Arkansas (54.5)

MIZ: 8-15ATS as a favorite (3-7ATS vs. losing teams)

MIZ: 8-13ATS last 21 on the road

MIZ: 8 of 11 on the road- Under

ARK: 21-7ATS last 28 as an underdog

ARK: 6-3ATS vs. SEC East opponents

ARK: 7 of last 10 as a home underdog- Under

H2H: Home team has covered 10 of last 11

H2H: 8 of the last 11 meetings- Under

Pick: SU- Missouri 27-24 / ATS- Arkansas / OU- Under

Louisville -7 vs. Kentucky (50.5)

LOU: 1-7ATS last 8 vs. SEC opponents

LOU: 11 of last 15 at home- Under

LOU: 5 of last 7 in November- Under

UK: 15-3ATS vs. NonConference opponents

UK: 12-5ATS on the road vs. teams with a winning home record

UK: 11 of 13 as a road dog- Under

H2H: UK 5-1ATS last 6 meetings (6-1ATS last 7 at LOU)

Pick: SU- Louisville 24-21 / ATS- Kentucky / OU- Under

LSU -10.5 vs. Texas A&M (66.5)

LSU: 13-4ATS as a home favorite

LSU: 11-2ATS last 13 at home

LSU: 14 of last 15- Over

TXAM: 5 of last 6 vs. SEC West- Over

TXAM: 1-7-1ATS last 9 on the road

TXAM: 3-8ATS last 11 in Week 13

H2H: LSU 11-1ATS last 12 meetings

H2H: Last 2 meetings- Over

Pick: SU- LSU 45-24 / ATS- LSU / OU- Over

Tennessee -27 vs. Vanderbilt (56.5)

UT: 10-2ATS following a loss

UT: 13-6ATS last 19 games

UT: 11 of 14 at home- Over

VAN: 1-9ATS this season

VAN: 17-29ATS as an underdog

VAN: 15-25ATS vs. SEC opponents

Pick: SU- Tennessee 45-13 / ATS- Tennessee / OU- Over

Alabama -14.5 @ Auburn (48.5)

ALA: 5-8ATS last 13 on the road

ALA: 6 of last 8 on the road- Over

ALA: 7 of 10 this season- Over (10 of last 13- Over)

AUB: 20-11ATS at home on Saturday

AUB: 12-6ATS vs. SEC West opponents

AUB: 10 of last 17- Over

H2H: Home team has covered 8 of last 11 (AUB 7-2ATS at home)

Pick: SU- Alabama 28-24 / ATS- Auburn / OU- Over

Florida State -6.5 @ Florida (50.5)

FSU: 8-2ATS last 10 on the road

FSU: 5 of last 7 vs. SEC opponents- Over

FSU: 10 of last 14- Over

FLA: 2-11ATS last 13 vs. NonConference opponents

FLA: 4-10ATS last 14 at home

FLA: 20 of 27 as a dog- Over

H2H: FSU 5-1ATS last 6 at FLA

H2H: 4 of last 5 meetings- Over

Pick: SU- Florida State 31-21 / ATS- Florida State / OU- Over

Clemson -7 @ South Carolina (51.5)

CLEM: 12-4ATS last 16 in November

CLEM: 5 of last 7 vs SEC- Under

SC: 8-12ATS vs. winning teams

SC: 4-12-1ATS following an ATS win

SC: 15 of 25 at home- Under

H2H: CLEM 2-0ATS last 2 at SC

H2H: 5 of last 6 meetings at SC- Under

Pick: SU- Clemson 28-20 / ATS- Clemson / OU- Under

Georgia -24 @ Georgia Tech (59.5)

UGA: 9-4ATS last 13 on the road

UGA: 35-13ATS on the road vs. NonConference opponents

UGA: 36-17ATS vs. winning teams

GT: 3-11ATS at Home

GT: 1-6ATS vs. SEC opponents

H2H: UGA 4-1ATS last 5 meetings (UGA covered last 12 at GT)

H2H: 7 of last 9 at GT- Under

Pick: SU- Georgia 42-10 / ATS- Georgia / OU- Under

Top 5 College Picks

1- LSU -10.5 vs. Texas A&M

2- Georgia -23 vs. Georgia Tech

3- Tulane -3 vs. UTSA

4- Temple +11.5 vs. Memphis

5- Florida State -6.5 vs. Florida

Top 5 NFL Picks

1- Dolphins -9.5 @ Jets

2- Cardinals PK vs. Rams

3- Eagles -3.5 vs. Bills

4- Ravens -4 @ Chargers

5- Vikings -3.5 vs. Bears

There you have it for Week Thirteen. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia App and GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel LIVE every Thursday at 2pm. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter X @thefishnation, on Instagram and Threads @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.

Enjoy the weekend!