Best Bets 12/29/22 (Bowl Games- Week 3)
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, Live every Thursday at 10am on the GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel and GrindCityMedia.com)
To help you with your bets this football season, we’ll handicap all the SEC action according to the trends. Plus, I’ll have my 5 picks and 5 over/unders each week along with my 5 best NFL picks.
Bowls: 14-11 SU 14-11 ATS 14-11 OU
SEC: 75-29 SU 51-53 ATS 57-47 OU
College Picks- 5 Picks: 48-42ATS (Best Bet 11-7ATS) / 5 OU: 56-34 (Best OU 14-4)
NFL Picks- 5 Picks: 47-38 (Best Bet 10-7 ATS)
Here we go with the third week of Bowls ……
Minnesota -10 vs. Syracuse (42.5) / Pinstripe Bowl
MIN: 6 of last 7 as a favorite- Under
MIN: Last 7 in December- Under
SYR: 4-0ATS last 4 Bowl Games
SYR: Last 4 following SU win- Under
H2H: Last 3 Meetings- Under
Picks: SU- Minnesota 24-17 / ATS- Syracuse / OU- Under
Florida State -9.5 vs. Oklahoma (66) / Cheez-it Bowl
FSU: 4-1ATS last 5 games
FSU: 5 of last 6 following an ATS loss- Under
OKL: 1-6ATS last 7 vs. winning teams
OKL: 4 of last 5 vs. ACC opponents- Under
Picks: SU- Florida State 38-27 / ATS- Florida State / OU- Under
Texas -3.5 vs. Washington (67.5) / Alamo Bowl
TEX: 4 of last 5 games- Over
WAS: 4-0ATS last 4 vs. NonConference
WAS: Last 6 following an ATS win- Over
Picks: SU- Washington 36-35 / ATS- Washington / OU- Over
North Carolina State (-1) vs. Maryland (46.5) / Duke’s Mayo Bowl
NCST: Last 4 on Friday- Over
NCST: 7 of last 8 Bowl Games- Over
MD: 6-1ATS last 7 vs. NonConference opponents
MD: 5 of last 6 Bowl Games- Over
H2H: 5 of last 6 meetings- Over
Picks: SU- Maryland 28-21 / ATS- Maryland / OU- Over
UCLA -6 vs. Pittsburgh (53.5) / Sun Bowl
UCLA: 2-4ATS Last 6 Games
UCLA: 8 of last 10 games- Over
PIT: 5-1ATS on Friday away from home
PIT: 4 of last 5 games- Over
Picks: SU- UCLA 31-26 / ATS- Pittsburgh / OU- Over
Notre Dame -2.5 vs. South Carolina (51.5) / Gator Bowl
ND: 2-5ATS Last 7 in December
ND: Last 6 Games- Over
SC: 5-1ATS Last 6 Bowl Games
SC: 5-2ATS Last 7 Games
SC: 4-1ATS Last 5 as an underdog
SC: 4 of last 5 vs. NonConference- Over
Picks: SU- South Carolina 28-24 / ATS- South Carolina / OU- Over
Ohio -1.5 vs. Wyoming (41.5) / Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl
OH: 8-1ATS Last 9 Games
OH: 5 of last 7 games- Under
WYO: 1-4SU Last 5 as an underdog
WYO: Last 5 Games- Under
H2H: OH 2-0ATS Last 2 meetings
Picks: SU- Ohio 21-18 / ATS- Ohio / OU- Under
Clemson -4.5 vs. Tennessee (63.5) / Orange Bowl
CLEM: 0-4ATS Last 4 vs. NonConference
CLEM: 2-5ATS Last 7 on a Friday
UT: 9-3ATS last 12 games
UT: 4-0ATS last 4 vs. NonConference opponents
UT: 4-0ATS last 4 on Friday
UT: 13 of last 18- Over (Last 4 on a Friday- Over)
UT: 6 of last 7 vs. ACC opponents- Over
Picks: SU- Tennessee 34-31 / ATS- Tennessee / OU- Over
Alabama -5.5 vs. Kansas State (56.5) / Sugar Bowl
ALA: 1-5-1ATS Last 7 Games
ALA: 0-4ATS Last 4 Games vs. Big XII opponents
ALA: Last 5 Bowl Games- Under
KSU: 5-1ATS Last 6 Games
KSU: 4-2ATS Last 6 vs. SEC opponents
KSU: 7 of last 9 in December- Under
Picks: SU- Alabama 28-24 / ATS- Kansas State / OU- Under
Iowa -1.5 vs. Kentucky (31) / Music City Bowl
IOWA: 1-4SU Last 5 vs. SEC opponents
IOWA: 5 of last 6 vs. winning teams- Under
IOWA: Last 7 vs. NonConference opponents- Under
UK: 10-4-1ATS Last 15 Games
UK: 6 of last 9 in December- Under
UK: Last 8 Games- Under
Picks: SU- Kentucky 17-13 / ATS- Kentucky / OU- Under
Michigan -8 vs. TCU (58.5) / CFP Semifinal (Fiesta Bowl)
MICH: 4-1ATS Last 5 Games
MICH: 4-2ATS Last 6 Games vs. Big XII opponents
MICH: 4 of last 5 in December- Over
TCU: 4 of last 6 as an underdog- Over
TCU: 4 of last 5 following an ATS loss- Over
Picks: SU- Michigan 35-24 / ATS- Michigan / OU- Over
Georgia -7 vs. Ohio State (62) / CFP Semifinal (Peach Bowl)
UGA: 8-2ATS Last 10 Bowl Games
UGA: 10 of last 15 games- Under
UGA: 5 of last 6 vs. NonConference opponents- Under
UGA: Last 5 Bowl Games- Under
OSU: 0-4ATS vs. teams with a winning record
OSU: 1-4ATS last 5 Games
OSU: 2-6ATS last 8 Games vs. SEC opponents
Picks: SU- Georgia 37-17 / ATS- Georgia / OU- Under
Mississippi State -1 vs. Illinois (46) / ReliaQuest Bowl
MSU: 4-0ATS last 4 vs. NonConference opponents
MSU: 7-4ATS vs. winning teams
MSU: 20 of last 33- Under
ILL: 13 of last 20- Under
ILL: 6 of last 7 at neutral site- Under
Picks: SU- Mississippi State 24-20 / ATS- Mississippi State / OU- Under
LSU -14.5 vs. Purdue (56.5) / Citrus Bowl
LSU: 2-4ATS last 6 games played in January
LSU: 2-4ATS last 6 games played on a Monday
LSU: 6 of last 7- Over
LSU: Last 4 Bowl Games- Over
PUR: 8 of last 9 vs. winning teams- Over
PUR: Last 6 Bowl Games- Over
PUR: Last 4 vs. SEC opponents- Over
Picks: SU- LSU 31-28 / ATS- Purdue / OU- Over
USC -1.5 vs. Tulane (62.5) / Cotton Bowl Classic
USC: Last 7 Games- Over
USC: Last 6 Games in January- Over
TLN: 8-1ATS last 9 games
TLN: Last 5 vs. winning teams- Over
TLN: Last 4 Games- Over
Picks: SU- Tulane 32-31 / ATS- Tulane / OU- Over
Utah -2.5 vs. Penn State (52.5) / Rose Bowl
UTAH: 4-1ATS last 5 Games
UTAH: 7-2ATS last 9 Games vs. B1G opponents
UTAH: 4 of last 6 games- Under
PSU: 0-6SU last 6 Games in January
Picks: SU- Utah 28-24 / ATS- Utah / OU- Under
TOP 5 COLLEGE PICKS ATS
Best Bet- Georgia -7 vs. Ohio State
2- Michigan -8 vs. TCU
3- Florida State -9.5 vs. Oklahoma
4- Tennessee +5.5 vs. Clemson
5- South Carolina +2.5 vs. Notre Dame
TOP 5 COLLEGE OVER/UNDERS
Best Bet- TCU vs. Michigan Over 58.5
2- Georgia vs. Ohio State Under 62
3- Mississippi State vs. Illinois Under 46
4- Tennessee vs. Clemson Over 63.5
5- USC vs. Tulane Over 62.5
TOP 5 NFL PICKS
Best Bet- Seahawks +2.5 vs. Jets
2- Titans +11 vs. Cowboys
3- Chargers -6.5 vs. Rams
4- Ravens vs. Steelers Under 36
5- Browns @ Commanders Under 40.5
There you have it for the third week of Bowls. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel live every Thursday at 10am. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter @thefishnation, on Instagram @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!
