Best Bets 12/14/22 (Bowl Games- Week 1)
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, Live every Thursday at 10am on the GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel and GrindCityMedia.com)
To help you with your bets this football season, we’ll handicap all the SEC action according to the trends. Plus, I’ll have my 5 picks and 5 over/unders each week along with my 5 best NFL picks.
SEC: 72-28 SU 48-52 ATS 55-45 OU
College Picks- 5 Picks: 42-38ATS (Best Bet 10-6ATS) / 5 OU: 48-32 (Best OU 12-4)
NFL Picks- 5 Picks: 43-32 ATS (Best Bet 10-5 ATS)
Here we go with the first week of Bowls ……
UAB -11 vs. Miami-Ohio (44.5) / Bahamas Bowl
UAB: 1-6ATS last 7 games
UAB: 4 of last 5 on Friday- Under
MIOH: Covered last 4 Bowl Games
MIOH: Last 7 in December- Under
Picks: SU- UAB 27-17 / ATS- Miami-Ohio / OU- Under
Troy -2 vs. UTSA (55.5) / Cure Bowl
TROY: 5-1ATS last 6 games
TROY: Last 8 Bowl Games- Over
UTSA: 12 of last 17 games- Over
UTSA: Last 5 vs. NonConference- Over
Picks: SU- Troy 31-28 / ATS- Troy / OU- Over
Louisville -1 vs. Cincinnati (41) / Fenway Bowl
LOU: Last 4 games- Under
CIN: 7 of last 8 away from home- Under
CIN: 6 of last 8- Under
H2H: CIN 4-2ATS last 6 meetings
Picks: SU- Cincinnati 21-18 / ATS- Cincinnati / OU- Under
Oregon State -10 vs. Florida (52.5) / Las Vegas Bowl
ORST: 6-0ATS last 6 games
ORST: 5-1ATS last 6 vs. NonConference
FLA: 2-8ATS last 10 vs. NonConference opponents
FLA: 4-9ATS last 13 at neutral site
FLA: 15 of last 19 as an underdog- Over
Picks: SU- Oregon State 34-20 / ATS- Oregon State / OU- Over
Fresno State -3 vs. Washington State (53.5) / LA Bowl
FRES: 4-1ATS last 5 games
FRES: 5 of last 7- Over
WSU: 0-4ATS last 4 in December
Picks: SU- Fresno State 31-24 / ATS- Fresno State / OU- Over
Southern Miss -6.5 vs. Rice (46.5)
USM: 7-0ATS last 7 vs. NonConference opponents
USM: 5 of last 6 following an ATS win- Over
RICE: 1-4ATS last 5 at neutral site
RICE: Last 4 vs. Sun Belt opponents- Over
H2H: Favorite is 4-0ATS last 4 meetings
H2H: 9 of last 12 meetings- Over
Picks: SU- Southern Miss 27-20 / ATS- Southern Miss / OU- Over
SMU -5.5 vs. BYU (64) / New Mexico Bowl
SMU: 1-5ATS last 6 vs. Independent opponents
BYU: 10 of last 14 games- Over
BYU: 7 of last 8 NonConference games- Over
Picks: SU- SMU 38-35 / ATS- BYU / OU- Over
Boise State -10.5 vs. North Texas (58.5) / Frisco Bowl
BSU: 7-0-1ATS last 8 games following a loss
BSU: 6-3ATS last 9 games
NT: 0-4ATS last 4 Bowl Games
NT: 8 of last 11 games- Over (Last 8 games in December- Over)
Picks: SU- Boise State 38-24 / ATS- Boise State / OU- Over
Marshall -10 vs. UConn (40.5) / Myrtle Beach Bowl
MAR: 0-5ATS last 5 games in December
MAR: Last 5 following an ATS loss- Under
CON: 5-0ATS last 5 vs. NonConference
CON: Last 4 NonConference games- Under
Picks: SU- UConn 21-17 / ATS- UConn / OU- Under
San Jose State -3.5 vs. Eastern Michigan (54) / Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
SJST: 0-6ATS last 6 games (0-5ATS Last 5 as a favorite)
SJST: 8 of last 12 games- Under
EMU: 4-1ATS last 5 games (5-0ATS last 5 as an underdog)
EMU: 4 of last 6 games- Under
Picks: SU- San Jose State 27-24 / ATS- Eastern Michigan / OU- Under
Toledo -4.5 vs. Liberty (54) / Boca Raton Bowl
TOL: 5-0ATS last 5 vs. Independant opponents
TOL: 4 of last 5 games- Under
LIB: 2-5ATS last 7 games
LIB: 4 of last 6 games- Under
H2H: TOL 2-0SU vs. LIB
Picks: SU- Toledo 31-14 / ATS- Toledo / OU- Under
South Alabama -4.5 vs. Western Kentucky (56) / New Orleans Bowl
SAL: 1-5SU last 6 in December
SAL: Last 4 games- Over
WKU: 5-0ATS last 5 vs. winning teams
WKU: Last 4 games in December- Over
Picks: SU- Western Kentucky 31-27 / ATS- Western Kentucky / OU- Over
TOP 5 COLLEGE PICKS ATS
Best Bet- Troy -2 vs. UTSA
2- UConn +10.5 vs. Marshall
3- Oregon State -10.5 vs. Florida
4- Fresno State -3 vs. Washington State
5- Boise State -10.5 vs. North Texas
TOP 5 COLLEGE OVER/UNDERS
Best Bet- Western Kentucky vs. South Alabama Over 53.5
2- UTSA vs. Troy Over 54.5
3- Fresno State vs. Boise State Over 54
4- Louisville vs. Cincinnati Under 41
5- Toledo vs. Liberty Under 54
TOP 5 NFL PICKS
Best Bet- Vikings -4 vs. Colts
2- Panthers -2.5 vs. Steelers
3- Bengals -3.5 @ Buccaneers
4- Cowboys -4.5 @ Jaguars
5- Dolphins @ Bills Over 42
There you have it for the first week of Bowls. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel live every Thursday at 10am. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter @thefishnation, on Instagram @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!
