Best Bets 10/3/2024
NCAA Week 6
NFL Week 5
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, LIVE every Monday and Thursday at 2pm on the GrindCityMedia App, GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel, and GrindCityMedia.com)
Each week we’ll handicap all the SEC action, plus give you the Top 5 College Picks along with the Top 5 NFL Picks.
Year to Date:
SEC Picks:
41-8 SU
33-16 ATS
30-19 OU
College Football Top 5 (14-11) / NFL Top 5 (10-10)
Here we go with Week Six……
Texas A&M -2 vs. Missouri (48.5)
TXAM: 2-9-1ATS last 12 games
TXAM: 9-11ATS as a home favorite
TXAM: 10-17SU last 27 at home vs. Top 25
TXAM: 23 of 37 as a favorite- Under
MIZ: 11-4ATS last 15 games
MIZ: 7-1ATS last 8 games on the road
MIZ: 7 of last 10 games- Under
H2H: MIZ 4-2ATS in last 6 meetings
H2H: MIZ 5-2ATS in last 7 meetings at TXAM
Pick: SU- Missouri 24-21 / ATS- Missouri / OU- Under
Georgia -24 vs. Auburn (53.5)
UGA: 8-0ATS in the first weekend of October
UGA: 16 of last 25 at home- Under
UGA: 6 of last 8- Under
AUB: 0-4ATS this season
AUB: 0-6ATS in the first weekend of October
AUB: 14 of last 22 on the road- Under
H2H: UGA 6-1ATS last 7 meetings (covered last 8 at home vs. AUB)
H2H: 8 of last 11 meetings- Under (5 of 7 at UGA- Under)
Pick: SU- Georgia 41-10 / ATS- Georgia / OU- Under
Ole Miss -9 @ South Carolina (52.5)
OM: 6-1ATS last 7 games
OM: 9 of last 11 on the road- Under
OM: all 4 games this season- Under
SC: 9-13ATS vs. winning teams
SC: 6-13-1ATS last 20 following an ATS win
SC: 7 of last 10- Under
H2H: Road team has covered 4 of last 6 meetings
Pick: SU- Ole Miss 31-20 / ATS- Ole Miss / OU- Under
Alabama -23 @ Vanderbilt (55.5)
ALA: 11-4ATS last 15 games
ALA: 37-31ATS as a double digit favorite vs. SEC
ALA: 11 of last 14- Over
VAN: 4-12ATS last 16 games
VAN: 3-10ATS last 13 at home
VAN: 10 of last 13 at home- Over
H2H: ALA 5-1ATS last 6 meetings
H2H: Road team has covered 4 of last 6
Pick: SU- Alabama 41-17 / ATS- Alabama / OU- Over
Tennessee -13.5 @ Arkansas (59.5)
UT: 8-8ATS as a road favorite
UT: 21 of last 32- Over
ARK: 24-8ATS last 32 as a dog
ARK: 15-10ATS following a loss
ARK: 21 of last 29- Over
H2H: ARK 9-2ATS last 11 meetings
H2H: ARK 6-0ATS @ home vs. UT
Pick: SU- Tennessee 38-27 / ATS- Arkansas / OU- Over
UCF -3 @ Florida (61.5)
FLA: 15-10-2ATS as an underdog
FLA: Billy Napier is 20-12-1ATS as a dog with 12SU wins
FLA: All 3 games this year have gone Over (10 of last 11- Over)
UCF: Lost 4 of last 5 October games
UCF: 4-18SU vs. SEC opponents
UCF: 4 of last 5- Over (13 of 19 on the road- Over)
Pick: SU- Florida 34-31 / ATS- Florida / OU- Over
Top 5 College Picks
1- Oregon -24 vs. Michigan State
2- Indiana -13.5 @ Northwestern
3- Clemson -14.5 @ Florida State
4- Missouri +2 @ Texas A&M
5- Ole Miss -9 @ South Carolina
Top 5 NFL Picks
1- Jets +2.5 vs. Vikings
2- Bears -3.5 vs. Panthers
3- Ravens -2.5 @ Bengals
4- Commanders -3 vs. Browns
5- Seahawks -6 vs. Giants
There you have it for Week Six. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia App and GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel LIVE every Monday and Thursday at 2pm. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter X @thefishnation, on Instagram and Threads @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!
