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SEC: Inside the Numbers Week Fourteen

By Rob Fischer (Host of the Odds Couple Podcast on GrindCity Media & Memphis Grizzlies Pre and Postgame Host and Sideline Reporter on FOX Sports)



Each week we’ll go inside the betting numbers for the SEC to help guide you on your business decisions each week. After twelve weeks according to the numbers: 77-20 SU, 35-51-1 ATS, and 43-28 on Over/Unders. Here we go for Week fourteen:


Ole Miss @ Mississippi State -2.5 (58)
Ole Miss 5-1-1 ATS last 7 games
Ole Miss 2-9-1 ATS as an underdog (pushed last one)
Ole Miss 4-10-1 ATS vs. SEC (covered 4 of last 7 and pushed one)
Ole Miss has gone Under the total in 9 of last 14
Ole Miss has gone over the total in 8 of last 13 on the road (Under in last one)
Mississippi State 3-7 ATS
Mississippi State 13-6 ATS at home (didn’t cover last 2)
Head to Head: Ole Miss has won 3 of 5 (lost last one)
Head to Head: home team has lost 4 straight
Head to Head: 5 of last 6 have gone Under (last 2)
Head to Head: 5 of last 6 at Mississippi State have gone Under
Picks: SU- Ole Miss / ATS- Ole Miss +2.5 / OU- Under 58

Missouri -11.5 @ Arkansas (53.5)
Missouri lost 4 straight on the road
Missouri 8-9 SU vs. SEC West
Missouri won 9 of 12 in November (lost 3 straight)
Missouri has gone Under the total in 9 of 10 games (last 5)
Arkansas has allowed 42.1 ppg vs. SEC opponents
Arkansas 2-6 ATS last 8 games (covered last one)
Arkansas lost last 4 at home (0-4 ATS)
Arkansas lost 18 straight vs. SEC
Arkansas lost 6 of last 9 in Little Rock
Arkansas 19-8 ATS at home when total is between 52.5-56
Arkansas has gone Under the total in 7 of last 12 (over in last 3)
Head to Head: Missouri has won 5 of last 6
Head to Head: 6 of the last 7 have gone under
Picks: SU- Missouri / ATS- Missouri -11.5 / OU- Under 53.5

Georgia -28 @ Georgia Tech (46)
Georgia 4-4 ATS last 8 games
Georgia 77-13 SU vs. non-conference
Georgia 33-13 ATS on road vs. non-conference opponents
Georgia 8-1 ATS last 9 on the road
Georgia 28-11 ATS vs. ACC opponents
Georgia has gone Under in 9 of their last 10 (last 5)
Georgia Tech 5 of their last 7 at home have gone under
Head to Head: Georgia has won 15 of 18 (lost 2 of 5)
Head to Head: Georgia has won and covered last two
Head to Head: Georgia 5-0 ATS last 5 @ Georgia Tech
Head to Head: 6 of last 7 at Georgia Tech have gone Under
Picks: SU- Georgia / ATS- Georgia -28 / OU- Under 46

Louisville @ Kentucky -3 (53.5)
Louisville 2-9 ATS vs. winning teams
Louisville over in 6 of their last 7 on the road
Kentucky won 11 of last 14 at home (covered 6 of last 7)
Kentucky 2-10 ATS at home vs. non-conference opponents (covered last 2)
Kentucky 5-13 ATS as a favorite
Kentucky has gone Under the total in 6 of last 7 games (over in last one)
Kentucky has gone over the total in 5 of their last 8 at home (Under in last three)
Head to Head: Kentucky has lost 6 of 8 (won last one)
Head to Head: Kentucky 0-5 ATS last 5 at home
Picks: SU- Kentucky / ATS- Louisville +3 / OU- Under 53.5

Clemson -27 @ South Carolina (51.5)
Clemson 24-12 ATS as a favorite
Clemson 9-2 ATS on the road on Saturday
South Carolina 12-6 ATS as a dog
South Carolina 7-5 ATS as a double digit dog
South Carolina lost 4 of their last 6 vs. non-conference opponents
South Carolina lost 17 of their last 19 vs. Top 25
South Carolina has gone Under the total in 6 of their last 8
Head to Head: Clemson won 5 straight
Head to Head: South Carolina 5-1ATS last 6 at home
Picks: SU- Clemson / ATS- South Carolina +27 / OU- Under 51.5

Alabama -3.5 @ Auburn (50)
Alabama outscore SEC opponents 45-22.1 per game
Alabama won 20 of last 21 on the road (lost to Auburn)
Alabama 84-58 ATS on the road
Alabama won 39 of 41 vs. SEC opponents
Alabama 28-4 SU vs. top 25 opponents (lost last one)
Alabama 33-3 SU vs. top 25 opponents on the road
Auburn 8-3 ATS last 11
Auburn covered 5 of last 7 at home (won 22 of 25)
Auburn 7-9 SU vs. top 25 (lost last 3)
Auburn 27-4 SU at home when ranked under Gus Malzahn
Auburn 10-2 SU at home when ranked vs. ranked opponent (lost last 2)
Auburn has gone under the total in 5 of last 6 games
Auburn has gone under the total in 8 of their last 12 at home
Head to Head: Alabama has won 4 of 5
Picks: SU- Auburn / ATS- Auburn +3.5 / OU- Under 50

Vanderbilt @ Tennessee -21.5 (45.5) Vanderbilt 1-9 ATS this season
Vanderbilt 1-7 ATS as an underdog
Vanderbilt 20-8 ATS on road when total is between 42.5-49
Vanderbilt last 37 SEC losses, 26 by double digits
Vanderbilt lost 37 of 48 vs. SEC (3 straight)
Vanderbilt 3-20 SU on the road vs. SEC
Vanderbilt lost 11 of 13 on the road (haven’t covered last 4)
Vanderbilt has gone under the total in 9 of their last 14
Tennessee covered last 3 at home
Tennessee covered last 2 at home vs. SEC
Tennessee covered last 6 games overall
Tennessee has won 4 of their last 5 vs. SEC
Head to Head: Vanderbilt has won 3 straight (5 of 7)
Head to Head: Vanderbilt 6-1ATS last 7 meetings (covered last 3)
Picks: SU- Tennessee / ATS- Vanderbilt + 21.5 / OU- Under 45.5

Texas A&M @ LSU -17 (62.5)
Texas A&M 18-7 ATS Under Jimbo Fisher
Texas A&M 2-13 SU on the road vs. top 3
Texas A&M lost 4 straight vs. top 25
Texas A&M 2-16 SU vs. AP #1
Texas A&M has gone Under the total in 7 of 8 road games
Texas A&M has gone Under the total in 7 of their last 10
LSU 7-2-1 ATS
LSU won 16 of their last 17 at home
LSU 91-12 SU at home at night
LSU has gone over the total in 10 of their last 13
Head to Head: LSU has won 7 of 8 (lost last one in 7OT)
Head to Head: LSU covered the last 2 (both have gone over)
Picks: SU- LSU / ATS- LSU -17 / OU- Over 62.5

Florida State @ Florida -17 (53.5)
Florida 24-6 SU at home
Head to Head: Florida State has won 7 of last 9 (lost last one)
Head to Head: 6 of the last 7 at Florida have gone Under
Head to Head: last 2 have gone over
Picks: SU- Florida / ATS- Florida -17 / OU- Over 53.5

Good luck with your Picks this week and check out the Odds Couple Podcast every Thursday on GrindCity Media or wherever you download your favorite Podcasts. You can contact me on Twitter: @thefishnation