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SEC: Inside the Numbers Week Twelve

By Rob Fischer (Host of the Odds Couple Podcast on GrindCity Media & Memphis Grizzlies Pre and Postgame Host and Sideline Reporter on FOX Sports)



Each week we’ll go inside the betting numbers for the SEC to help guide you on your business decisions each week. After eleven weeks according to the numbers: 69-19 SU, 33-45 ATS, and 37-25 on Over/Unders. Here we go for Week twelve:


Alabama -17.5 @ Mississippi State (61.5)
Alabama outscoring SEC opponents 46.2-24.7
Alabama won 38 straight as double digit favorite vs. SEC (21-17 ATS)
Alabama 31-3 SU last 34 on the road
Alabama 83-58 ATS last 141 on the road
Alabama won 89 straight vs. unranked opponents
Mississippi State 3-6 ATS (6 of 9- over)
Mississippi State lost 16 of 20 vs. Top 25 (9 of 11 vs. Top 10)
Mississippi State 13-5 ATS at home (didn’t cover last one)
Mississippi State 13-4 ATS at home on Saturday (didn’t cover last one)
Mississippi State has gone over in 7 of last 10
Head to Head: Alabama has won 11 straight (Mississippi State 8.5 ppg)
Head to Head: Nick Saban 16-1 vs. Mississippi State
Head to Head: 9 of last 12 have gone under
Picks: SU- Alabama / ATS- Alabama -17.5 / OU- Under 61.5

Florida -7 @ Missouri (51)
Florida 12-4 SU in games decided by 7 or less (won 3 of 4)
Florida 7 of last 8 on the road have gone over
Missouri 6-0 ATS last 6 at home
Missouri 5-0 SU at home outscoring opponents 40.4-11.6
Missouri lost 12 of last 13 vs. ranked opponents
Missouri 4-47 SU vs. Top Ten since 1991
Missouri won 9 of last 10 in November (lost last one)
Missouri has gone Under in 6 of last 8 games
Missouri has gone Under in 7 of last 8 at home (over in last one)
Head to Head: Missouri has won 4 of last 6 (last 2)
Head to Head: Missouri 5-2 ATS last 7 meetings
Picks: SU- Florida / ATS- Missouri +7 / OU- Under 51

Georgia -3 @ Auburn (41.5)
Georgia 24-13 ATS last 37 (3-3 ATS last 6)
Georgia 17-7 ATS last 24 vs. SEC (2-2 ATS last 4)
Georgia 11-2 ATS on the road vs. SEC
Georgia 15-4 ATS last 19 vs. winning teams
Georgia 12-2 ATS last 14 on the road
Georgia lost 7 of last 11 on the road vs. ranked opponents (won last one)
Georgia has gone over in 6 of last 7 on the road
Georgia has gone Under in 7 of 8 lined games this year
Auburn 7-2 ATS this season (6 of 9 have gone under)
Auburn 8-2 ATS last 10 games (11-4 ATS last 15)
Auburn covered 5 of last 6 at home
Auburn won 21 of last 23 at home
Auburn 26-3 SU at home when ranked under Gus Malzahn
Auburn 7-1 SU at home when ranked vs. ranked opponents under Gus Malzahn
Auburn 17-10 SU when ranked vs. SEC East (11-15-1 ATS)
Auburn 9-0 SU last 9 times following a Bye Week
Head to Head: Georgia has won 12 of 15 (4 of 6 / 4 wins by 115-38)
Head to Head: 5 of the last 6 have gone Under
Picks: SU- Auburn / ATS- Auburn +3 / OU- Under 41.5

Kentucky -10 @ Vanderbilt (43.5)
Kentucky 4-13 ATS as a favorite
Kentucky 6-16 ATS following a conference game
Kentucky 2-9 ATS coming off a conference loss
Kentucky lost 33 of last 39 on the road vs. SEC opponents
Kentucky has gone Under the total in 6 straight games
Kentucky has gone Under the total in 8 of last 10 on the road
Vanderbilt 1-8 ATS this season
Vanderbilt 3-8 ATS last 11 at home (covered last one)
Vanderbilt last 36 SEC losses, 25 by double digits
Vanderbilt has gone Under in 5 of last 6 games
Vanderbilt has gone Under in 10 of last 14 at home (6 of 8)
Head to Head: Kentucky has won 3 straight
Head to Head: 6 of last 7 have gone Under
Picks: SU- Kentucky / ATS- Vanderbilt +10 / OU- Under 43.5

LSU -21 @ Ole Miss (65.5)
LSU 7-1 ATS this season
LSU 35-18 SU last 53 vs. SEC
LSU has gone over in 8 of last 11 games (Under in 2 of 3)
Ole Miss 5-1 ATS last 6 games
Ole Miss lost 11 of last 15 games (3 of 4)
Ole Miss 2-9 ATS as an underdog
Ole Miss 2-8 ATS vs. winning teams
Ole Miss 16-29 ATS at home in weeks 10-13
Ole Miss 5-14 SU vs. Top Ten (3-9 vs. Top 5)
Ole Miss 4-10 ATS vs. SEC opponents
Ole Miss has gone Under in 4 of last 5 (8 of last 11 at home)
Head to Head: LSU has won 13 of last 17
Head to Head: LSU 4-1 ATS last 5
Head to Head: home team has won 6 of last 7
Picks: SU- LSU / ATS- LSU -21 / OU- Under 65.5

South Carolina @ Texas A&M -11 (51)
South Carolina 12-5 ATS last 17 as an underdog
South Carolina 7-4 ATS last 11 as a double digit underdog
South Carolina 9-3 ATS last 12 on the road
South Carolina 9-2 ATS last 11 on the road on grass
South Carolina has gone Under in 5 of last 7
Texas A&M won 10 of last 12 at home (won last 2)
Texas A&M 12-4 ATS last 16 at home (didn’t cover last one)
Texas A&M 11-3 SU last 14 vs. SEC East (won 8 straight)
Head to Head: Texas A&M has won 5 straight (2-0 at home)
Picks: SU- Texas A&M / ATS- South Carolina +11 / OU- Under 51

Good luck with your Picks this week and check out the Odds Couple Podcast every Thursday on GrindCity Media or wherever you download your favorite Podcasts. You can contact me on Twitter: @thefishnation