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Inside the Numbers: SEC Bowl Games

By Rob Fischer (Host of the Odds Couple Podcast on GrindCity Media & Memphis Grizzlies Pre and Postgame Host and Sideline Reporter on FOX Sports)



After the SEC Title, according to the numbers: 86-21 SU, 42-54-1 ATS, and 49-32 on Over/Unders. Here we go for Bowl Season:


Oklahoma vs. LSU -13.5 (76) - Peach Bowl
Oklahoma has gone Under the total in 4 of their last 5
Oklahoma 1-5 ATS last 6 games
Oklahoma 1-3 ATS vs. Top 25 this season
LSU 9-2-1 ATS
LSU won 45 of last 47 when scoring 20+ points
LSU 10-2 SU vs. Top Ten (both losses- Alabama)
LSU 40+ Points in 4 of last 6 vs. Top 10 (37 in last one vs. UGA)
LSU has gone over the total in 10 of 15 (Under in 4 of 7)
Head to Head: 1-1 (LSU- 2004 Sugar Bowl / OKL- 1950 Sugar Bowl

Mississippi State -4 vs. Louisville (63.5) - Music City Bowl
Mississippi State won 26 of last 30 vs. non-conference
Mississippi State won 6 of last 10 in NFL stadiums
Mississippi State won 3 of last 4 bowl games
Mississippi State 0-6 ATS last 6 away from home vs. winning team
Louisville 4-12 ATS as an underdog
Head to Head: Mississippi State won and covered last matchup (Under)
Picks: SU- Louisville / ATS- Louisville +4 / OU- Over 63.5

Virginia vs. Florida -14 (54) - Orange Bowl
Florida won 4 of last 7 vs. Top 25
Florida 30-16 ATS after a Bye when playing away from home
Florida 10-2 ATS after 2+ wins
Head to Head: Florida won last meeting 55-10 on October 3, 1959
Picks: SU- Florida / ATS- Florida -14 / OU- Under 54

Kentucky vs. Virginia Tech -3 (46.5) - Belk Bowl
Kentucky has gone Under the total in 6 of 8 (last two have gone over)
Kentucky 16-10 ATS as an underdog
Head to Head: Kentucky has won 8 of last 11 (lost 3 of last 4)
Head to Head: last meeting was 1987

Michigan vs. Alabama -7 (58) - Citrus Bowl
Michigan 5-1 ATS last 6 games
Alabama last 5 losses have been vs. Tigers
Alabama has won 63 of last 68 games
Alabama 59-7 SU vs. non-conference opponents Under Saban
Alabama 28-5 SU vs. Top 25 opponents (lost 2 straight)
Alabama 23-6 SU last 29 played at neutral site
Alabama 3-7 ATS in Bowl games Under Saban
Picks: SU- Alabama / ATS- Alabama -7 / OU- Over 58

Minnesota vs. Auburn -7.5 (53) - Outback Bowl
Auburn 12-5ATS last 17 (8-3 ATS this season)
Auburn lost 3 of last 4 vs. Top 25 (won last one)
Auburn lost 3 of last 4 when ranked vs. ranked opponent (won last won)
Auburn 9-1 SU following a Bye (lost last one)
Auburn has gone under the total in 4 of last 6 (last one - Over)
Head to Head: have never met
Picks: SU- Auburn / ATS- Auburn -7.5 / OU- Over 53

Baylor vs. Georgia -6.5 (42) - Sugar Bowl
Baylor 14-5 ATS vs. winning teams
Georgia 5-5 ATS last 10 games
Georgia 16-6 ATS vs. winning teams (didn’t cover last one)
Georgia 78-13 SU vs. non-conference opponents
Georgia 27-13 ATS on turf
Georgia has gone Under the total in 10 of last 12
Picks: SU- Georgia / ATS- Georgia -6.5 / OU- Under 42

Tennessee -1.5 vs. Indiana (51.5) - Taxslayer Bowl
Tennessee 51-31 ATS vs. winning teams when playing away from home
Tennessee 6-1 ATS last 7 games
Tennessee won 17 of last 20 vs. non-conference opponents
Tennessee won 7 of last 8 games played at neutral site
Indiana 81-114 ATS as an underdog
Picks: SU- Tennessee / ATS- Tennessee -1.5 / OU- Under 51.5

Good luck with your Picks this week and check out the Odds Couple Podcast every Thursday on GrindCity Media or wherever you download your favorite Podcasts. You can contact me on Twitter: @thefishnation