Best Bets 9/25/2024
NCAA Week 5
NFL Week 4
By Rob Fischer (Host of a weekly Podcast, The Odds Couple, LIVE every Monday and Thursday at 2pm on the GrindCityMedia App, GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel, and GrindCityMedia.com)
Each week we’ll handicap all the SEC action, plus give you the Top 5 College Picks along with the Top 5 NFL Picks.
Year to Date:
SEC Picks:
37-6 SU
29-14 ATS
26-17 OU
College Football Top 5 (10-10)
NFL Top 5 (7-8)
Here we go with Week Five……
Ole Miss -17.5 vs. Kentucky (52.5)
OM: 6-0ATS last 6 games
OM: 9-2ATS in September
OM: 24 of last 34- Under
UK: Lost 34 of 38 on road vs. Top 25
UK: 17 of 23 on the road- Under (11 of 14 as a road dog- Under)
UK: 19 of last 29- Under
H2H: OM won 10 of 13 meetings (6 straight at home)
Pick: SU- Ole Miss 34-14 / ATS- Ole Miss / OU- Under
Texas A&M -4 vs. Arkansas (52.5)
TXAM: 2-8-1ATS last 11 games
TXAM: Won 30 of 40 as a favorite (11-7 last 18)
TXAM: 22 of 36 as a favorite- Under
ARK: 23-8ATS as an underdog (14-3ATS as a road dog)
ARK: 5-2ATS last 7 at a neutral site
ARK: 5 of 7 at neutral site- Under
H2H: TXAM won 11 of 12 (8 of 12 decided by 7 or less)
H2H: ARK 5-1ATS last 6 meetings (underdog in all 5)
H2H: 4 of last 6 meetings- Under
Pick: SU- Arkansas 28-24 / ATS- Arkansas / OU- Under
Oklahoma -2.5 @ Auburn (46.5)
OKL: 6-3ATS last 9 vs. SEC opponents
OKL: 6-2ATS last 8 played in September
OKL: 3 of 4 games this season- Under
AUB: 0-3ATS this season
AUB: Lost 17 of 19 vs. Top 25 (1-15SU as an underdog)
AUB: As a home dog, 12 of 19- Under
H2H: Last matchup, OKL won and covered (Under)
Pick: SU- Oklahoma 24-21 / ATS- Oklahoma / OU- Under
Texas -38.5 vs. Mississippi State (61.5)
TEX: 7-1ATS last 8 games
TEX: 6-1ATS last 7 at home
TEX: 9 of last 14- Under
MSU: 0-3ATS this season (3-11-1ATS last 15)
MSU: 2-11-1ATS last 14 vs. SEC
MSU: 2-7ATS last 9 on the road
MSU: 9 of 11 on the road- Under
H2H: In lone matchup, Texas won and covered (Under)
Pick: SU- Texas 48-7 / ATS- Texas / OU- Under
Georgia -1.5 @ Alabama (49.5)
UGA: 20-10ATS on the road vs. SEC opponents
UGA: 36-19ATS vs. winning teams
UGA: Lots 8 of 15 on the road vs. ranked opponents
ALA: 20-7ATS last 27 at home
ALA: 10-4ATS last 14 games
ALA: 10 of last 13- Over (7 of 10 at home- Over)
H2H: ALA won 8 of last 9 meetings
H2H: Home team is 4-1ATS in last 5 meetings
H2H: Underdog is 9-1ATS in last 10 meetings
H2H: 10 of last 12 meetings- Over
Pick: SU- Alabama 28-24 / ATS- Alabama / OU- Over
LSU -20.5 vs. South Alabama (65.5)
LSU: 12-3ATS at home
LSU: 16 of last 19- Over
LSU: 17 of 25 at home- Over (12 of 17 as a home favorite- Over)
SAL: 4-11ATS last 15 on a Saturday
SAL: 2-5ATS last 7 on the road
SAL: 12 of 17 on the road- Over
Pick: SU- LSU 45-24 / ATS- LSU / OU- Over
Top 5 College Picks
1- BYU +2.5 @ Baylor
2- Navy -2.5 @ UAB
3- Ole Miss -17.5 vs. Kentucky
4- Arkansas +4 vs. Texas A&M
5- Notre Dame -4 vs. Louisville
Top 5 NFL Picks
1- Cowboys -4.5 @ Giants
2- Texans -4.5 vs. Jaguars
3- Jets -7.5 vs. Broncos
4- Cardinals -5.5 vs. Commanders
5- Ravens -2.5 vs. Bills
There you have it for Week Five. For more trends, notes and Nuggets on the SEC, College Football, and the NFL , check out my podcast- The Odds Couple on the GrindCityMedia App and GrindCityMedia YouTube Channel LIVE every Monday and Thursday at 2pm. Or you can listen to the podcast and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. You can follow me on Twitter X @thefishnation, on Instagram and Threads @thefishnation_, and on Facebook. You can also email me with any comments or questions at rfischer@grizzlies.com.
Enjoy the weekend!
